Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives
The Paris Agreement promotes forest management as a pathway towards halting climate warming through the reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions1. However, the climate benefits from carbon sequestration through forest management may be reinforced, counteracted or even offset by concurrent management-induced changes in surface albedo, land-surface roughness, emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds, transpiration and sensible heat flux2,3,4. Consequently, forest management could offset CO2 emissions without halting global temperature rise. It therefore remains to be confirmed whether commonly proposed sustainable European forest-management portfolios would comply with the Paris Agreement—that is, whether they can reduce the growth rate of atmospheric CO2, reduce the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, and neither increase the near-surface air temperature nor decrease precipitation by the end of the twenty-first century. Here we show that the portfolio made up of management systems that locally maximize the carbon sink through carbon sequestration, wood use and product and energy substitution reduces the growth rate of atmospheric CO2, but does not meet any of the other criteria. The portfolios that maximize the carbon sink or forest albedo pass only one—different in each case—criterion. Managing the European forests with the objective of reducing near-surface air temperature, on the other hand, will also reduce the atmospheric CO2 growth rate, thus meeting two of the four criteria. Trade-off are thus unavoidable when using European forests to meet climate objectives. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that if present-day forest cover is sustained, the additional climate benefits achieved through forest management would be modest and local, rather than global. On the basis of these findings, we argue that Europe should not rely on forest management to mitigate climate change. The modest climate effects from changes in forest management imply, however, that if adaptation to future climate were to require large-scale changes in species composition and silvicultural systems over Europe5,6, the forests could be adapted to climate change with neither positive nor negative climate effects.
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séquestration du carbone changement climatique aménagement forestier forêt adaptation aux changements climatiques dioxyde de carbone atténuation des effets du changement climatique CO2 atmosphérique forêt tropicale politique de l'environnement carbone impact sur l'environnement gaz à effet de serre http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_331583 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_16129 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3062 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1302 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374571087594 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_35478 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24904 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2597 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1301 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24420 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34841 séquestration du carbone changement climatique aménagement forestier forêt adaptation aux changements climatiques dioxyde de carbone atténuation des effets du changement climatique CO2 atmosphérique forêt tropicale politique de l'environnement carbone impact sur l'environnement gaz à effet de serre http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_331583 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_16129 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3062 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1302 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374571087594 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_35478 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24904 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2597 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1301 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24420 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34841 |
spellingShingle |
séquestration du carbone changement climatique aménagement forestier forêt adaptation aux changements climatiques dioxyde de carbone atténuation des effets du changement climatique CO2 atmosphérique forêt tropicale politique de l'environnement carbone impact sur l'environnement gaz à effet de serre http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_331583 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_16129 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3062 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1302 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374571087594 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_35478 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24904 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2597 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1301 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24420 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34841 séquestration du carbone changement climatique aménagement forestier forêt adaptation aux changements climatiques dioxyde de carbone atténuation des effets du changement climatique CO2 atmosphérique forêt tropicale politique de l'environnement carbone impact sur l'environnement gaz à effet de serre http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_331583 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_16129 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3062 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1302 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374571087594 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_35478 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24904 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2597 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1301 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24420 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34841 Luyssaert, Sebastiaan Marie, Guillaume Valade, Aude Chen, Yi-Ying Njakou Djomo, Sylvestre Ryder, James Otto, Juliane Naudts, Kim Lanso, Anne Sofie Ghattas, Josefine McGrath, Matthew J. Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives |
description |
The Paris Agreement promotes forest management as a pathway towards halting climate warming through the reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions1. However, the climate benefits from carbon sequestration through forest management may be reinforced, counteracted or even offset by concurrent management-induced changes in surface albedo, land-surface roughness, emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds, transpiration and sensible heat flux2,3,4. Consequently, forest management could offset CO2 emissions without halting global temperature rise. It therefore remains to be confirmed whether commonly proposed sustainable European forest-management portfolios would comply with the Paris Agreement—that is, whether they can reduce the growth rate of atmospheric CO2, reduce the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, and neither increase the near-surface air temperature nor decrease precipitation by the end of the twenty-first century. Here we show that the portfolio made up of management systems that locally maximize the carbon sink through carbon sequestration, wood use and product and energy substitution reduces the growth rate of atmospheric CO2, but does not meet any of the other criteria. The portfolios that maximize the carbon sink or forest albedo pass only one—different in each case—criterion. Managing the European forests with the objective of reducing near-surface air temperature, on the other hand, will also reduce the atmospheric CO2 growth rate, thus meeting two of the four criteria. Trade-off are thus unavoidable when using European forests to meet climate objectives. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that if present-day forest cover is sustained, the additional climate benefits achieved through forest management would be modest and local, rather than global. On the basis of these findings, we argue that Europe should not rely on forest management to mitigate climate change. The modest climate effects from changes in forest management imply, however, that if adaptation to future climate were to require large-scale changes in species composition and silvicultural systems over Europe5,6, the forests could be adapted to climate change with neither positive nor negative climate effects. |
format |
article |
topic_facet |
séquestration du carbone changement climatique aménagement forestier forêt adaptation aux changements climatiques dioxyde de carbone atténuation des effets du changement climatique CO2 atmosphérique forêt tropicale politique de l'environnement carbone impact sur l'environnement gaz à effet de serre http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_331583 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_16129 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3062 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1302 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374571087594 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_35478 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24904 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2597 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1301 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24420 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34841 |
author |
Luyssaert, Sebastiaan Marie, Guillaume Valade, Aude Chen, Yi-Ying Njakou Djomo, Sylvestre Ryder, James Otto, Juliane Naudts, Kim Lanso, Anne Sofie Ghattas, Josefine McGrath, Matthew J. |
author_facet |
Luyssaert, Sebastiaan Marie, Guillaume Valade, Aude Chen, Yi-Ying Njakou Djomo, Sylvestre Ryder, James Otto, Juliane Naudts, Kim Lanso, Anne Sofie Ghattas, Josefine McGrath, Matthew J. |
author_sort |
Luyssaert, Sebastiaan |
title |
Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives |
title_short |
Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives |
title_full |
Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives |
title_fullStr |
Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives |
title_full_unstemmed |
Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives |
title_sort |
trade-offs in using european forests to meet climate objectives |
url |
http://agritrop.cirad.fr/604859/ http://agritrop.cirad.fr/604859/2/luyssaert_2018_Nature.pdf |
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spelling |
dig-cirad-fr-6048592024-01-29T05:58:07Z http://agritrop.cirad.fr/604859/ http://agritrop.cirad.fr/604859/ Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives. Luyssaert Sebastiaan, Marie Guillaume, Valade Aude, Chen Yi-Ying, Njakou Djomo Sylvestre, Ryder James, Otto Juliane, Naudts Kim, Lanso Anne Sofie, Ghattas Josefine, McGrath Matthew J.. 2018. Nature, 562 : 259-262.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0577-1 <https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0577-1> Trade-offs in using European forests to meet climate objectives Luyssaert, Sebastiaan Marie, Guillaume Valade, Aude Chen, Yi-Ying Njakou Djomo, Sylvestre Ryder, James Otto, Juliane Naudts, Kim Lanso, Anne Sofie Ghattas, Josefine McGrath, Matthew J. eng 2018 Nature séquestration du carbone changement climatique aménagement forestier forêt adaptation aux changements climatiques dioxyde de carbone atténuation des effets du changement climatique CO2 atmosphérique forêt tropicale politique de l'environnement carbone impact sur l'environnement gaz à effet de serre http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_331583 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_16129 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3062 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1302 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374571087594 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_35478 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24904 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2597 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1301 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24420 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34841 The Paris Agreement promotes forest management as a pathway towards halting climate warming through the reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions1. However, the climate benefits from carbon sequestration through forest management may be reinforced, counteracted or even offset by concurrent management-induced changes in surface albedo, land-surface roughness, emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds, transpiration and sensible heat flux2,3,4. Consequently, forest management could offset CO2 emissions without halting global temperature rise. It therefore remains to be confirmed whether commonly proposed sustainable European forest-management portfolios would comply with the Paris Agreement—that is, whether they can reduce the growth rate of atmospheric CO2, reduce the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, and neither increase the near-surface air temperature nor decrease precipitation by the end of the twenty-first century. Here we show that the portfolio made up of management systems that locally maximize the carbon sink through carbon sequestration, wood use and product and energy substitution reduces the growth rate of atmospheric CO2, but does not meet any of the other criteria. The portfolios that maximize the carbon sink or forest albedo pass only one—different in each case—criterion. Managing the European forests with the objective of reducing near-surface air temperature, on the other hand, will also reduce the atmospheric CO2 growth rate, thus meeting two of the four criteria. Trade-off are thus unavoidable when using European forests to meet climate objectives. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that if present-day forest cover is sustained, the additional climate benefits achieved through forest management would be modest and local, rather than global. On the basis of these findings, we argue that Europe should not rely on forest management to mitigate climate change. The modest climate effects from changes in forest management imply, however, that if adaptation to future climate were to require large-scale changes in species composition and silvicultural systems over Europe5,6, the forests could be adapted to climate change with neither positive nor negative climate effects. article info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal Article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://agritrop.cirad.fr/604859/2/luyssaert_2018_Nature.pdf text Cirad license info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess https://agritrop.cirad.fr/mention_legale.html https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0577-1 10.1038/s41586-018-0577-1 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1038/s41586-018-0577-1 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/purl/https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0577-1 info:eu-repo/semantics/dataset/purl/https://doi.org/10.14768/06337394-73A9-407C-9997-0E380DAC5595 info:eu-repo/semantics/dataset/purl/https://doi.org/10.14768/06337394-73A9-407C-9997-0E380DAC5596 info:eu-repo/semantics/dataset/purl/https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1284533 |