Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia
The avian influenza (AI) epidemic is threatening Africa mainly because the flyways of migratory birds link the endemic and newly infected countries with disease-free areas in this continent and because of the risk of introduction through trade. Risk analysis provides a set of tools for supporting decision making by the veterinary services and other stakeholders, resulting in more effective surveillance and emergency preparedness. The risk assessment process could be split into three different steps: 1) risk release through the migratory birds and the official and unofficial poultry-product marketing chains; 2) risk exposure by means of studying interfaces among imported and exposed poultry and among wild and domestic birds; and 3) risk consequences for establishing the probability of AI spreading within the poultry population and the probability of it escaping detection. A conceptual framework is presented based on preliminary data and field missions carried out in Ethiopia. Field surveys and expert opinion will be necessary for the parameterization of the risk model. Spatial analysis will be used to identify high risk of exposure among wild and domestic birds. Risk communication and risk management will be based on the findings from the risk assessment model.
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dig-cirad-fr-5403912022-04-20T13:35:55Z http://agritrop.cirad.fr/540391/ http://agritrop.cirad.fr/540391/ Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia. Goutard Flavie, Roger François, Guitian Javier, Balança Gilles, Argaw K., Demissie A., Soti Valérie, Martin Vincent, Pfeiffer Dirk. 2007. Avian Diseases, 51 (S1) : 504-506. International Symposia on Avian Influenza. 6, Cambridge, Royaume-Uni, 3 Avril 2006/6 Avril 2006.https://doi.org/10.1637/7591-040206R.1 <https://doi.org/10.1637/7591-040206R.1> Researchers Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia Goutard, Flavie Roger, François Guitian, Javier Balança, Gilles Argaw, K. Demissie, A. Soti, Valérie Martin, Vincent Pfeiffer, Dirk eng 2007 Avian Diseases L73 - Maladies des animaux The avian influenza (AI) epidemic is threatening Africa mainly because the flyways of migratory birds link the endemic and newly infected countries with disease-free areas in this continent and because of the risk of introduction through trade. Risk analysis provides a set of tools for supporting decision making by the veterinary services and other stakeholders, resulting in more effective surveillance and emergency preparedness. The risk assessment process could be split into three different steps: 1) risk release through the migratory birds and the official and unofficial poultry-product marketing chains; 2) risk exposure by means of studying interfaces among imported and exposed poultry and among wild and domestic birds; and 3) risk consequences for establishing the probability of AI spreading within the poultry population and the probability of it escaping detection. A conceptual framework is presented based on preliminary data and field missions carried out in Ethiopia. Field surveys and expert opinion will be necessary for the parameterization of the risk model. Spatial analysis will be used to identify high risk of exposure among wild and domestic birds. Risk communication and risk management will be based on the findings from the risk assessment model. article info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal Article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://agritrop.cirad.fr/540391/1/document_540391.pdf application/pdf Cirad license info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess https://agritrop.cirad.fr/mention_legale.html https://doi.org/10.1637/7591-040206R.1 10.1637/7591-040206R.1 http://catalogue-bibliotheques.cirad.fr/cgi-bin/koha/opac-detail.pl?biblionumber=164111 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1637/7591-040206R.1 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/purl/https://doi.org/10.1637/7591-040206R.1 |
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L73 - Maladies des animaux L73 - Maladies des animaux Goutard, Flavie Roger, François Guitian, Javier Balança, Gilles Argaw, K. Demissie, A. Soti, Valérie Martin, Vincent Pfeiffer, Dirk Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia |
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The avian influenza (AI) epidemic is threatening Africa mainly because the flyways of migratory birds link the endemic and newly infected countries with disease-free areas in this continent and because of the risk of introduction through trade. Risk analysis provides a set of tools for supporting decision making by the veterinary services and other stakeholders, resulting in more effective surveillance and emergency preparedness. The risk assessment process could be split into three different steps: 1) risk release through the migratory birds and the official and unofficial poultry-product marketing chains; 2) risk exposure by means of studying interfaces among imported and exposed poultry and among wild and domestic birds; and 3) risk consequences for establishing the probability of AI spreading within the poultry population and the probability of it escaping detection. A conceptual framework is presented based on preliminary data and field missions carried out in Ethiopia. Field surveys and expert opinion will be necessary for the parameterization of the risk model. Spatial analysis will be used to identify high risk of exposure among wild and domestic birds. Risk communication and risk management will be based on the findings from the risk assessment model. |
format |
article |
topic_facet |
L73 - Maladies des animaux |
author |
Goutard, Flavie Roger, François Guitian, Javier Balança, Gilles Argaw, K. Demissie, A. Soti, Valérie Martin, Vincent Pfeiffer, Dirk |
author_facet |
Goutard, Flavie Roger, François Guitian, Javier Balança, Gilles Argaw, K. Demissie, A. Soti, Valérie Martin, Vincent Pfeiffer, Dirk |
author_sort |
Goutard, Flavie |
title |
Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia |
title_short |
Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia |
title_full |
Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia |
title_fullStr |
Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in Africa : the case of Ethiopia |
title_sort |
conceptual framework for avian influenza risk assessment in africa : the case of ethiopia |
url |
http://agritrop.cirad.fr/540391/ http://agritrop.cirad.fr/540391/1/document_540391.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv |
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1758021332407156736 |