Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model
A simple ‘toy’ model of productivity and nitrogen and phosphorus cycling was used to evaluate how the increasing temporal variation in precipitation that is predicted (and observed) to occur as a consequence of greenhouse-gas-induced climate change will affect crop yields and losses of reactive N that can cause environmental damage and affect human health. The model predicted that as temporal variability in precipitation increased it progressively reduced yields and increased losses of reactive N by disrupting the synchrony between N supply and plant N uptake. Also, increases in the temporal variation of precipitation increased the frequency of floods and droughts. Predictions of this model indicate that climate-change-driven increases in temporal variation in precipitation in rainfed agricultural ecosystems will make it difficult to sustain cropping systems that are both high-yielding and have small environmental and human-health footprints.
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article biblioteca |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Higher Education Press
2022
|
| Subjects: | AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY, Fertilizer Timing, Nitrogen Loss, Precipitation Variability, Toy Model, CROP YIELD, FERTILIZERS, NITROGEN, CROPPING SYSTEMS, Sustainable Agrifood Systems, |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10883/22318 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| id |
dig-cimmyt-10883-22318 |
|---|---|
| record_format |
koha |
| spelling |
dig-cimmyt-10883-223182023-01-11T19:03:00Z Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model Vitousek, P.M. Xinping Chen Cui, Z. Liu, X. Matson, P.A. Ortiz-Monasterio, I. Robertson, G.P. Fusuo Zhang AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY Fertilizer Timing Nitrogen Loss Precipitation Variability Toy Model CROP YIELD FERTILIZERS NITROGEN CROPPING SYSTEMS Sustainable Agrifood Systems A simple ‘toy’ model of productivity and nitrogen and phosphorus cycling was used to evaluate how the increasing temporal variation in precipitation that is predicted (and observed) to occur as a consequence of greenhouse-gas-induced climate change will affect crop yields and losses of reactive N that can cause environmental damage and affect human health. The model predicted that as temporal variability in precipitation increased it progressively reduced yields and increased losses of reactive N by disrupting the synchrony between N supply and plant N uptake. Also, increases in the temporal variation of precipitation increased the frequency of floods and droughts. Predictions of this model indicate that climate-change-driven increases in temporal variation in precipitation in rainfed agricultural ecosystems will make it difficult to sustain cropping systems that are both high-yielding and have small environmental and human-health footprints. 457-464 2022-12-07T20:30:42Z 2022-12-07T20:30:42Z 2022 Article Published Version https://hdl.handle.net/10883/22318 10.15302/J-FASE-2022452 English CIMMYT manages Intellectual Assets as International Public Goods. The user is free to download, print, store and share this work. In case you want to translate or create any other derivative work and share or distribute such translation/derivative work, please contact CIMMYT-Knowledge-Center@cgiar.org indicating the work you want to use and the kind of use you intend; CIMMYT will contact you with the suitable license for that purpose Open Access Beijing (China) Higher Education Press 3 9 2095-7505 Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering |
| institution |
CIMMYT |
| collection |
DSpace |
| country |
México |
| countrycode |
MX |
| component |
Bibliográfico |
| access |
En linea |
| databasecode |
dig-cimmyt |
| tag |
biblioteca |
| region |
America del Norte |
| libraryname |
CIMMYT Library |
| language |
English |
| topic |
AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY Fertilizer Timing Nitrogen Loss Precipitation Variability Toy Model CROP YIELD FERTILIZERS NITROGEN CROPPING SYSTEMS Sustainable Agrifood Systems AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY Fertilizer Timing Nitrogen Loss Precipitation Variability Toy Model CROP YIELD FERTILIZERS NITROGEN CROPPING SYSTEMS Sustainable Agrifood Systems |
| spellingShingle |
AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY Fertilizer Timing Nitrogen Loss Precipitation Variability Toy Model CROP YIELD FERTILIZERS NITROGEN CROPPING SYSTEMS Sustainable Agrifood Systems AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY Fertilizer Timing Nitrogen Loss Precipitation Variability Toy Model CROP YIELD FERTILIZERS NITROGEN CROPPING SYSTEMS Sustainable Agrifood Systems Vitousek, P.M. Xinping Chen Cui, Z. Liu, X. Matson, P.A. Ortiz-Monasterio, I. Robertson, G.P. Fusuo Zhang Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model |
| description |
A simple ‘toy’ model of productivity and nitrogen and phosphorus cycling was used to evaluate how the increasing temporal variation in precipitation that is predicted (and observed) to occur as a consequence of greenhouse-gas-induced climate change will affect crop yields and losses of reactive N that can cause environmental damage and affect human health. The model predicted that as temporal variability in precipitation increased it progressively reduced yields and increased losses of reactive N by disrupting the synchrony between N supply and plant N uptake. Also, increases in the temporal variation of precipitation increased the frequency of floods and droughts. Predictions of this model indicate that climate-change-driven increases in temporal variation in precipitation in rainfed agricultural ecosystems will make it difficult to sustain cropping systems that are both high-yielding and have small environmental and human-health footprints. |
| format |
Article |
| topic_facet |
AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY Fertilizer Timing Nitrogen Loss Precipitation Variability Toy Model CROP YIELD FERTILIZERS NITROGEN CROPPING SYSTEMS Sustainable Agrifood Systems |
| author |
Vitousek, P.M. Xinping Chen Cui, Z. Liu, X. Matson, P.A. Ortiz-Monasterio, I. Robertson, G.P. Fusuo Zhang |
| author_facet |
Vitousek, P.M. Xinping Chen Cui, Z. Liu, X. Matson, P.A. Ortiz-Monasterio, I. Robertson, G.P. Fusuo Zhang |
| author_sort |
Vitousek, P.M. |
| title |
Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model |
| title_short |
Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model |
| title_full |
Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model |
| title_fullStr |
Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model |
| title_sort |
climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: analysis with a toy model |
| publisher |
Higher Education Press |
| publishDate |
2022 |
| url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10883/22318 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT vitousekpm climatechangeinducedtemporalvariationinprecipitationincreasesnitrogenlossesfromintensivecroppingsystemsanalysiswithatoymodel AT xinpingchen climatechangeinducedtemporalvariationinprecipitationincreasesnitrogenlossesfromintensivecroppingsystemsanalysiswithatoymodel AT cuiz climatechangeinducedtemporalvariationinprecipitationincreasesnitrogenlossesfromintensivecroppingsystemsanalysiswithatoymodel AT liux climatechangeinducedtemporalvariationinprecipitationincreasesnitrogenlossesfromintensivecroppingsystemsanalysiswithatoymodel AT matsonpa climatechangeinducedtemporalvariationinprecipitationincreasesnitrogenlossesfromintensivecroppingsystemsanalysiswithatoymodel AT ortizmonasterioi climatechangeinducedtemporalvariationinprecipitationincreasesnitrogenlossesfromintensivecroppingsystemsanalysiswithatoymodel AT robertsongp climatechangeinducedtemporalvariationinprecipitationincreasesnitrogenlossesfromintensivecroppingsystemsanalysiswithatoymodel AT fusuozhang climatechangeinducedtemporalvariationinprecipitationincreasesnitrogenlossesfromintensivecroppingsystemsanalysiswithatoymodel |
| _version_ |
1756087099179663360 |