Opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in Eastern Spain, 1961–2019

Most studies on wind variability have deepened into the stilling vs. reversal phenomena at global to regional scales, while the long-term changes in local-scale winds such as sea-breezes (SB) represent a gap of knowledge in climate research. The state-of-the-art of the wind variability studies suggests a hypothetical reinforcement of SB at coastal stations. We first developed a robust automated method for the identification of SB days. Then, by using homogenized wind observations from 16 stations across Eastern Spain, we identified 9,349 episodes for analyzing the multidecadal variability and trends in SB speeds, gusts and occurrence for 1961–2019. The major finding is the opposite trends and decoupled variability of SB speeds and gusts: the SB speeds declined significantly in all seasons (except for winter), and the SB gusts strengthened at the annual scale and in autumn–winter, being most significant in autumn. Our results also show that the SB occurrence has increased across most of Eastern Spain, although presenting contrasting seasonal trends: positive in winter and negative in summer. We found that more frequent anticyclonic conditions, NAOI + and MOI + are positively linked to the increased winter occurrence; however, the causes behind the opposite trends in SB speeds and gusts remain unclear. The SB changes are complex to explain, involving both large-scale circulation and physical-local factors that challenge the understanding of the opposite trends. Further investigation is needed to assess whether these trends are a widespread phenomenon, while climate models could simulate the drivers behind these decoupled SB changes in a warmer climate.

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Main Authors: Bedoya-Valest, Shalenys, Azorín-Molina, César, Gimeno, Luis, Guijarro, José A., Sanchez-Morcillo, Víctor J., Aguilar, Enric, Brunet, Manola
Other Authors: Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)
Format: artículo biblioteca
Published: Springer 2023
Subjects:Sea breeze speeds and gusts, Occurrence, Changes, Atmospheric circulation, Eastern Spain,
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/339825
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spelling dig-cide-es-10261-3398252023-11-28T12:40:06Z Opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in Eastern Spain, 1961–2019 Bedoya-Valest, Shalenys Azorín-Molina, César Gimeno, Luis Guijarro, José A. Sanchez-Morcillo, Víctor J. Aguilar, Enric Brunet, Manola Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España) Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España) Generalitat Valenciana Fundación BBVA Sea breeze speeds and gusts Occurrence Changes Atmospheric circulation Eastern Spain Most studies on wind variability have deepened into the stilling vs. reversal phenomena at global to regional scales, while the long-term changes in local-scale winds such as sea-breezes (SB) represent a gap of knowledge in climate research. The state-of-the-art of the wind variability studies suggests a hypothetical reinforcement of SB at coastal stations. We first developed a robust automated method for the identification of SB days. Then, by using homogenized wind observations from 16 stations across Eastern Spain, we identified 9,349 episodes for analyzing the multidecadal variability and trends in SB speeds, gusts and occurrence for 1961–2019. The major finding is the opposite trends and decoupled variability of SB speeds and gusts: the SB speeds declined significantly in all seasons (except for winter), and the SB gusts strengthened at the annual scale and in autumn–winter, being most significant in autumn. Our results also show that the SB occurrence has increased across most of Eastern Spain, although presenting contrasting seasonal trends: positive in winter and negative in summer. We found that more frequent anticyclonic conditions, NAOI + and MOI + are positively linked to the increased winter occurrence; however, the causes behind the opposite trends in SB speeds and gusts remain unclear. The SB changes are complex to explain, involving both large-scale circulation and physical-local factors that challenge the understanding of the opposite trends. Further investigation is needed to assess whether these trends are a widespread phenomenon, while climate models could simulate the drivers behind these decoupled SB changes in a warmer climate. This research was funded by the following projects: IBER-STILLING (RTI2018-095749-A-I00, MCIU/AEI/FEDER,UE); and VENTS (GVA-AICO/2021/023). C.A.M was granted by Ramon y Cajal fellowship (RYC-2017–22830), and supported by a 2021 Leonardo Grant for Researchers and Cultural Creators, BBVA Foundation. 2023-11-28T12:40:05Z 2023-11-28T12:40:05Z 2023 2023-11-28T12:40:06Z artículo doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06473-0 issn: 0930-7575 e-issn: 1432-0894 Climate Dynamics 60: 2847-2869 (2023) http://hdl.handle.net/10261/339825 #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/RTI2018-095749-A-I00/ES/EVALUACION Y ATRIBUCION DE LA VARIABILIDAD DE LA VELOCIDAD MEDIA Y LAS RACHAS MAXIMAS DE VIENTO: CAUSAS DEL FENOMENO STILLING/ info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI//RYC-2017–22830 Publisher's version http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06473-0 Sí open Springer
institution CIDE ES
collection DSpace
country España
countrycode ES
component Bibliográfico
access En linea
databasecode dig-cide-es
tag biblioteca
region Europa del Sur
libraryname Biblioteca del CIDE España
topic Sea breeze speeds and gusts
Occurrence
Changes
Atmospheric circulation
Eastern Spain
Sea breeze speeds and gusts
Occurrence
Changes
Atmospheric circulation
Eastern Spain
spellingShingle Sea breeze speeds and gusts
Occurrence
Changes
Atmospheric circulation
Eastern Spain
Sea breeze speeds and gusts
Occurrence
Changes
Atmospheric circulation
Eastern Spain
Bedoya-Valest, Shalenys
Azorín-Molina, César
Gimeno, Luis
Guijarro, José A.
Sanchez-Morcillo, Víctor J.
Aguilar, Enric
Brunet, Manola
Opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in Eastern Spain, 1961–2019
description Most studies on wind variability have deepened into the stilling vs. reversal phenomena at global to regional scales, while the long-term changes in local-scale winds such as sea-breezes (SB) represent a gap of knowledge in climate research. The state-of-the-art of the wind variability studies suggests a hypothetical reinforcement of SB at coastal stations. We first developed a robust automated method for the identification of SB days. Then, by using homogenized wind observations from 16 stations across Eastern Spain, we identified 9,349 episodes for analyzing the multidecadal variability and trends in SB speeds, gusts and occurrence for 1961–2019. The major finding is the opposite trends and decoupled variability of SB speeds and gusts: the SB speeds declined significantly in all seasons (except for winter), and the SB gusts strengthened at the annual scale and in autumn–winter, being most significant in autumn. Our results also show that the SB occurrence has increased across most of Eastern Spain, although presenting contrasting seasonal trends: positive in winter and negative in summer. We found that more frequent anticyclonic conditions, NAOI + and MOI + are positively linked to the increased winter occurrence; however, the causes behind the opposite trends in SB speeds and gusts remain unclear. The SB changes are complex to explain, involving both large-scale circulation and physical-local factors that challenge the understanding of the opposite trends. Further investigation is needed to assess whether these trends are a widespread phenomenon, while climate models could simulate the drivers behind these decoupled SB changes in a warmer climate.
author2 Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)
author_facet Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)
Bedoya-Valest, Shalenys
Azorín-Molina, César
Gimeno, Luis
Guijarro, José A.
Sanchez-Morcillo, Víctor J.
Aguilar, Enric
Brunet, Manola
format artículo
topic_facet Sea breeze speeds and gusts
Occurrence
Changes
Atmospheric circulation
Eastern Spain
author Bedoya-Valest, Shalenys
Azorín-Molina, César
Gimeno, Luis
Guijarro, José A.
Sanchez-Morcillo, Víctor J.
Aguilar, Enric
Brunet, Manola
author_sort Bedoya-Valest, Shalenys
title Opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in Eastern Spain, 1961–2019
title_short Opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in Eastern Spain, 1961–2019
title_full Opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in Eastern Spain, 1961–2019
title_fullStr Opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in Eastern Spain, 1961–2019
title_full_unstemmed Opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in Eastern Spain, 1961–2019
title_sort opposite trends of sea-breeze speeds and gusts in eastern spain, 1961–2019
publisher Springer
publishDate 2023
url http://hdl.handle.net/10261/339825
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