Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels
© 2021 The Author(s).
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2021-10-22
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dig-cide-es-10261-2665912022-04-08T07:08:04Z Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels Zha, Jinlin Shen, Cheng Li, Zhibo Wu, Jian Zhao, Deming Fan, Wenxuan Sun, Ming Azorín-Molina, César Deng, Kaiqiang National Key Research and Development Program (China) National Natural Science Foundation of China Chinese Academy of Sciences Yunnan Province Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España) Fundación BBVA Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España) Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España) © 2021 The Author(s). Understanding future changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed (NSWS) in specific global warming level (GWL) is crucial for climate change adaption. Previous studies have projected the NSWS changes; however, the changes of NSWS with different GWLs have yet to be studied. In this paper, we employ the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model large ensembles to evaluate the contributions of different GWLs to the NSWS changes. The results show that the NSWS decreases over the Northern Hemisphere (NH) mid-to-high latitudes and increases over the Southern Hemisphere (SH) as the GWL increases by 1.5 °C–4.0 °C relative to the preindustrial period, and that these characteristics are more significant with the stronger GWL. The probability density of the NSWS shifts toward weak winds over NH and strong winds over SH between the current climate and the 4.0 °C GWL. Compared to 1.5 °C GWL, the NSWS decreases −0.066 m s−1 over NH and increases +0.065 m s−1 over SH with 4.0 °C GWL, especially for East Asia and South America, the decrease and increase are most significant, which reach −0.21 and +0.093 m s−1, respectively. Changes in the temperature gradient induced by global warming could be the primary factor causing the interhemispheric asymmetry of future NSWS changes. Intensified global warming induces the reduction in Hadley, Ferrell, and Polar cells over NH and the strengthening of the Hadley cell over SH could be another determinant of asymmetry changes in NSWS between two hemispheres. The work is supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China (2018YFA0606004), National Natural Science Foundation of China (42005023, 41875178, 41865001, 41775087), Nanjing Meteorological Bureau Scientific Project (NJ202103), the Program for Special Research Assistant Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences, the Program for Key Laboratory in University of Yunnan Province, and the C.A.M. was supported by Ramon y Cajal fellowship (RYC-2017-22830), the Leonardo grant 2021 from the BBVA Foundation, and the Grant Nos. VR-2017-03780 and RTI2018-095749-A-I00 (MCIU/AEI/FEDER, UE). 2022-04-07T11:00:18Z 2022-04-07T11:00:18Z 2021-10-22 2022-04-07T11:00:19Z artículo http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 Environmental Research Letters 16(11): 114016 (2021) http://hdl.handle.net/10261/266591 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2fdd 1748-9326 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002367 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100007406 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001809 #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement////RYC-2017-22830 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/RTI2018-095749-A-I00/ES/EVALUACION Y ATRIBUCION DE LA VARIABILIDAD DE LA VELOCIDAD MEDIA Y LAS RACHAS MAXIMAS DE VIENTO: CAUSAS DEL FENOMENO STILLING/ Publisher's version http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2fdd Sí open IOP Publishing |
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© 2021 The Author(s). |
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National Key Research and Development Program (China) |
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National Key Research and Development Program (China) Zha, Jinlin Shen, Cheng Li, Zhibo Wu, Jian Zhao, Deming Fan, Wenxuan Sun, Ming Azorín-Molina, César Deng, Kaiqiang |
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artículo |
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Zha, Jinlin Shen, Cheng Li, Zhibo Wu, Jian Zhao, Deming Fan, Wenxuan Sun, Ming Azorín-Molina, César Deng, Kaiqiang |
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Zha, Jinlin Shen, Cheng Li, Zhibo Wu, Jian Zhao, Deming Fan, Wenxuan Sun, Ming Azorín-Molina, César Deng, Kaiqiang Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels |
| author_sort |
Zha, Jinlin |
| title |
Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels |
| title_short |
Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels |
| title_full |
Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels |
| title_fullStr |
Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels |
| title_sort |
projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 °c-4.0 °c global warming levels |
| publisher |
IOP Publishing |
| publishDate |
2021-10-22 |
| url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/266591 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002367 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100007406 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001809 |
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