Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease
Diarrhoea caused by waterborne pathogens still has a large burden of disease. We introduce a modelling and scenario analysis framework that enables better understanding of sources of and possible future changes in the disease burden due to environmental change and management implementation. The state-of-the-art research that can contribute to the development of the framework at the large scale is analysed, together with research gaps and opportunities for future research. Priorities have been identified and these include implementation of Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment and application of the models in scenario analyses. The credibility of the model outputs should be central in the analysis, for example by developing stochastic models. Implementation of the framework contributes towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.
Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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Format: | Journal Article biblioteca |
Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2019-02
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Subjects: | waterborne diseases, water quality, pathogens, concentrates, diarrhoea, health hazards, public health, environmental health, environmental impact assessment, rivers, sustainable development goals, risk reduction, |
Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/98954 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2018.10.002 |
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dig-cgspace-10568-989542023-12-08T19:36:04Z Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease Hofstra, N. Vermeulen, L.C. Derx, J. Florke, M. Mateo-Sagasta, Javier Rose, J. Medema, G. waterborne diseases water quality pathogens concentrates diarrhoea health hazards public health environmental health environmental impact assessment rivers sustainable development goals risk reduction Diarrhoea caused by waterborne pathogens still has a large burden of disease. We introduce a modelling and scenario analysis framework that enables better understanding of sources of and possible future changes in the disease burden due to environmental change and management implementation. The state-of-the-art research that can contribute to the development of the framework at the large scale is analysed, together with research gaps and opportunities for future research. Priorities have been identified and these include implementation of Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment and application of the models in scenario analyses. The credibility of the model outputs should be central in the analysis, for example by developing stochastic models. Implementation of the framework contributes towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. 2019-02 2019-01-08T06:04:59Z 2019-01-08T06:04:59Z Journal Article Hofstra, N.; Vermeulen, L. C.; Derx, J.; Florke, M.; Mateo-Sagasta, Javier; Rose, J.; Medema, G. 2018. Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 36: 28-38. doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2018.10.002 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/98954 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2018.10.002 en All rights reserved; self-archive copy only Limited Access 36: 28-38 Elsevier Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability |
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waterborne diseases water quality pathogens concentrates diarrhoea health hazards public health environmental health environmental impact assessment rivers sustainable development goals risk reduction waterborne diseases water quality pathogens concentrates diarrhoea health hazards public health environmental health environmental impact assessment rivers sustainable development goals risk reduction |
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waterborne diseases water quality pathogens concentrates diarrhoea health hazards public health environmental health environmental impact assessment rivers sustainable development goals risk reduction waterborne diseases water quality pathogens concentrates diarrhoea health hazards public health environmental health environmental impact assessment rivers sustainable development goals risk reduction Hofstra, N. Vermeulen, L.C. Derx, J. Florke, M. Mateo-Sagasta, Javier Rose, J. Medema, G. Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease |
description |
Diarrhoea caused by waterborne pathogens still has a large burden of disease. We introduce a modelling and scenario analysis framework that enables better understanding of sources of and possible future changes in the disease burden due to environmental change and management implementation. The state-of-the-art research that can contribute to the development of the framework at the large scale is analysed, together with research gaps and opportunities for future research. Priorities have been identified and these include implementation of Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment and application of the models in scenario analyses. The credibility of the model outputs should be central in the analysis, for example by developing stochastic models. Implementation of the framework contributes towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. |
format |
Journal Article |
topic_facet |
waterborne diseases water quality pathogens concentrates diarrhoea health hazards public health environmental health environmental impact assessment rivers sustainable development goals risk reduction |
author |
Hofstra, N. Vermeulen, L.C. Derx, J. Florke, M. Mateo-Sagasta, Javier Rose, J. Medema, G. |
author_facet |
Hofstra, N. Vermeulen, L.C. Derx, J. Florke, M. Mateo-Sagasta, Javier Rose, J. Medema, G. |
author_sort |
Hofstra, N. |
title |
Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease |
title_short |
Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease |
title_full |
Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease |
title_fullStr |
Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease |
title_full_unstemmed |
Priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease |
title_sort |
priorities for developing a modelling and scenario analysis framework for waterborne pathogen concentrations in rivers worldwide and consequent burden of disease |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2019-02 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/98954 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2018.10.002 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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