Economic growth and real volatility: The case of Latin America and the Caribbean
Using a new database of quarterly data for 21 countries of Latin America and the Caribbean for the 1990-2012 period, this document shows that the duration of GDP contractions appears to be a rather robust indicator of real volatility, and is negatively correlated with long run growth in Latin America and the Caribbean during the period. These results are consistent with different theoretical hypotheses in the literature that relate the duration of GDP contractions with economic growth. They also show that the relationship between real volatility and economic growth in the region is robust to the inclusion of external variables that control for external uncertainty and volatility.
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Texto biblioteca |
Language: | English |
Published: |
ECLAC
2014-12
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Subjects: | MACROECONOMIA, CRECIMIENTO ECONOMICO, CONDICIONES ECONOMICAS, INDICADORES ECONOMICOS, MACROECONOMICS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, ECONOMIC INDICATORS, |
Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/11362/37468 |
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Summary: | Using a new database of quarterly data for 21 countries of Latin America and the Caribbean for the 1990-2012 period, this document shows that the duration of GDP contractions appears to be a rather robust indicator of real volatility, and is negatively correlated with long run growth in Latin America and the Caribbean during the period. These results are consistent with different theoretical hypotheses in the literature that relate the duration of GDP contractions with economic growth. They also show that the relationship between real volatility and economic growth in the region is robust to the inclusion of external variables that control for external uncertainty and volatility. |
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