Preventing Sudden Stops in Net Capital Flows

Sudden stops in net capital flows can be prevented if domestic investors either repatriate foreign-held assets or roll over their local asset holdings when foreign investors stop lending or sell off their local asset holdings. This paper presents evidence showing that domestic factors such as low levels of liability dollarization, the consistency of the monetary and exchange rate regimes, low inflation, higher growth, and a solid institutional background, explain why some countries are more successful in eliciting the behaviors that increase the probability of preventing a sudden stop following a tightening of the external borrowing constraint. Prevention is key to offsetting an external credit crunch originating in factors that are usually outside the control of borrowing countries, which can turn into costly sudden stops in net capital flows in the affected economies.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Inter-American Development Bank
Other Authors: Eduardo A. Cavallo
Language:English
Published: Inter-American Development Bank
Subjects:Inflation, Exchange Rate, Sudden Stop, Financial Crisis, Capital Flow, Gross Domestic Product, Foreign Asset, F30 - International Finance: General, F40 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General, F32 - Current Account Adjustment • Short-Term Capital Movements, Gross capital flows;Sudden stops;Retrenchments;Domestic versusforeign investors,
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0002561
https://publications.iadb.org/en/preventing-sudden-stops-in-net-capital-flows
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Summary:Sudden stops in net capital flows can be prevented if domestic investors either repatriate foreign-held assets or roll over their local asset holdings when foreign investors stop lending or sell off their local asset holdings. This paper presents evidence showing that domestic factors such as low levels of liability dollarization, the consistency of the monetary and exchange rate regimes, low inflation, higher growth, and a solid institutional background, explain why some countries are more successful in eliciting the behaviors that increase the probability of preventing a sudden stop following a tightening of the external borrowing constraint. Prevention is key to offsetting an external credit crunch originating in factors that are usually outside the control of borrowing countries, which can turn into costly sudden stops in net capital flows in the affected economies.