Spatial Econometric Analysis and Project Evaluation: Modeling Land Use Change in the Darién
The Program for the Sustainable Development of Darién Province in Panama is a $70 million operation approved in 1998 and a major component of the program involves the resurfacing of the Pan American highway, which runs roughly north south through the province to a point about 70 kilometers from the Colombian border. The paper illustrates the use of spatial analysis techniques to predict the land use changes that would occur after the road is resurfaced and other project interventions completed. The predictions are based on a spatial econometric model relating categories of land use to geophysical and socioeconomic variables, including transportation costs and distance from markets. The results of this model are used to predict the spatially explicit effects of road resurfacing on economic activities. The methods explored in this paper offer a promising way to combine behavioral models of human activity with geographic information to realistically assess the prospective land use changes induced by development projects.
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Format: | Technical Notes biblioteca |
Language: | English |
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Inter-American Development Bank
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Subjects: | Rural Development, Environment;Environmental Law and Economics, |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0008801 https://publications.iadb.org/en/spatial-econometric-analysis-and-project-evaluation-modeling-land-use-change-darien |
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dig-bid-node-113772024-05-30T20:08:13ZSpatial Econometric Analysis and Project Evaluation: Modeling Land Use Change in the Darién 1999-11-01T00:00:00+0000 http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0008801 https://publications.iadb.org/en/spatial-econometric-analysis-and-project-evaluation-modeling-land-use-change-darien Inter-American Development Bank Rural Development Environment;Environmental Law and Economics The Program for the Sustainable Development of Darién Province in Panama is a $70 million operation approved in 1998 and a major component of the program involves the resurfacing of the Pan American highway, which runs roughly north south through the province to a point about 70 kilometers from the Colombian border. The paper illustrates the use of spatial analysis techniques to predict the land use changes that would occur after the road is resurfaced and other project interventions completed. The predictions are based on a spatial econometric model relating categories of land use to geophysical and socioeconomic variables, including transportation costs and distance from markets. The results of this model are used to predict the spatially explicit effects of road resurfacing on economic activities. The methods explored in this paper offer a promising way to combine behavioral models of human activity with geographic information to realistically assess the prospective land use changes induced by development projects. Inter-American Development Bank Gerald C. Nelson Virginia Harris Steven Stone Technical Notes application/pdf IDB Publications Panama en |
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Rural Development Environment;Environmental Law and Economics Rural Development Environment;Environmental Law and Economics Inter-American Development Bank Spatial Econometric Analysis and Project Evaluation: Modeling Land Use Change in the Darién |
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The Program for the Sustainable Development of Darién Province in Panama is a $70 million operation approved in 1998 and a major component of the program involves the resurfacing of the Pan American highway, which runs roughly north south through the province to a point about 70 kilometers from the Colombian border. The paper illustrates the use of spatial analysis techniques to predict the land use changes that would occur after the road is resurfaced and other project interventions completed. The predictions are based on a spatial econometric model relating categories of land use to geophysical and socioeconomic variables, including transportation costs and distance from markets. The results of this model are used to predict the spatially explicit effects of road resurfacing on economic activities. The methods explored in this paper offer a promising way to combine behavioral models of human activity with geographic information to realistically assess the prospective land use changes induced by development projects. |
author2 |
Gerald C. Nelson |
author_facet |
Gerald C. Nelson Inter-American Development Bank |
format |
Technical Notes |
topic_facet |
Rural Development Environment;Environmental Law and Economics |
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Inter-American Development Bank |
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Inter-American Development Bank |
title |
Spatial Econometric Analysis and Project Evaluation: Modeling Land Use Change in the Darién |
title_short |
Spatial Econometric Analysis and Project Evaluation: Modeling Land Use Change in the Darién |
title_full |
Spatial Econometric Analysis and Project Evaluation: Modeling Land Use Change in the Darién |
title_fullStr |
Spatial Econometric Analysis and Project Evaluation: Modeling Land Use Change in the Darién |
title_full_unstemmed |
Spatial Econometric Analysis and Project Evaluation: Modeling Land Use Change in the Darién |
title_sort |
spatial econometric analysis and project evaluation: modeling land use change in the darién |
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Inter-American Development Bank |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0008801 https://publications.iadb.org/en/spatial-econometric-analysis-and-project-evaluation-modeling-land-use-change-darien |
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AT interamericandevelopmentbank spatialeconometricanalysisandprojectevaluationmodelinglandusechangeinthedarien |
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1809107023199993856 |