Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective

This paper investigates the international spillovers of housing demand shocks on real economic activity. The global economy is modeled using a Global VAR, with a novel house price data set for both advanced and emerging economies. The impulse responses to an identified US housing demand shock confirm the existence of strong international spillovers to advanced economies. In contrast, the response of some major emerging economies is not significantly different from zero. The paper also shows that synchronized housing demand shocks in advanced economies reinforce each other and have a deep and long-lasting impact on economic activity.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Inter-American Development Bank
Other Authors: Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi
Format: Working Papers biblioteca
Language:English
Published: Inter-American Development Bank
Subjects:Financial Market, Housing, Production and Business Cycle, C32 - Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes • State Space Models, E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, F44 - International Business Cycles, Housing Cycles, GVAR, Identification of shocks, Emerging Markets, Boom and Bust Cycles,
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011417
https://publications.iadb.org/en/housing-cycles-and-macroeconomic-fluctuations-global-perspective
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spelling dig-bid-node-110822024-05-30T20:30:06ZHousing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective 2012-10-11T00:00:00+0000 http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011417 https://publications.iadb.org/en/housing-cycles-and-macroeconomic-fluctuations-global-perspective Inter-American Development Bank Financial Market Housing Production and Business Cycle C32 - Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes • State Space Models E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy F44 - International Business Cycles Housing Cycles, GVAR, Identification of shocks, Emerging Markets, Boom and Bust Cycles This paper investigates the international spillovers of housing demand shocks on real economic activity. The global economy is modeled using a Global VAR, with a novel house price data set for both advanced and emerging economies. The impulse responses to an identified US housing demand shock confirm the existence of strong international spillovers to advanced economies. In contrast, the response of some major emerging economies is not significantly different from zero. The paper also shows that synchronized housing demand shocks in advanced economies reinforce each other and have a deep and long-lasting impact on economic activity. Inter-American Development Bank Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi Working Papers application/pdf IDB Publications en
institution BID
collection DSpace
country Estados Unidos
countrycode US
component Bibliográfico
access En linea
databasecode dig-bid
tag biblioteca
region America del Norte
libraryname Biblioteca Felipe Herrera del BID
language English
topic Financial Market
Housing
Production and Business Cycle
C32 - Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes • State Space Models
E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
F44 - International Business Cycles
Housing Cycles, GVAR, Identification of shocks, Emerging Markets, Boom and Bust Cycles
Financial Market
Housing
Production and Business Cycle
C32 - Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes • State Space Models
E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
F44 - International Business Cycles
Housing Cycles, GVAR, Identification of shocks, Emerging Markets, Boom and Bust Cycles
spellingShingle Financial Market
Housing
Production and Business Cycle
C32 - Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes • State Space Models
E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
F44 - International Business Cycles
Housing Cycles, GVAR, Identification of shocks, Emerging Markets, Boom and Bust Cycles
Financial Market
Housing
Production and Business Cycle
C32 - Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes • State Space Models
E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
F44 - International Business Cycles
Housing Cycles, GVAR, Identification of shocks, Emerging Markets, Boom and Bust Cycles
Inter-American Development Bank
Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective
description This paper investigates the international spillovers of housing demand shocks on real economic activity. The global economy is modeled using a Global VAR, with a novel house price data set for both advanced and emerging economies. The impulse responses to an identified US housing demand shock confirm the existence of strong international spillovers to advanced economies. In contrast, the response of some major emerging economies is not significantly different from zero. The paper also shows that synchronized housing demand shocks in advanced economies reinforce each other and have a deep and long-lasting impact on economic activity.
author2 Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi
author_facet Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi
Inter-American Development Bank
format Working Papers
topic_facet Financial Market
Housing
Production and Business Cycle
C32 - Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes • State Space Models
E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
F44 - International Business Cycles
Housing Cycles, GVAR, Identification of shocks, Emerging Markets, Boom and Bust Cycles
author Inter-American Development Bank
author_sort Inter-American Development Bank
title Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective
title_short Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective
title_full Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective
title_fullStr Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Housing Cycles and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Global Perspective
title_sort housing cycles and macroeconomic fluctuations: a global perspective
publisher Inter-American Development Bank
url http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011417
https://publications.iadb.org/en/housing-cycles-and-macroeconomic-fluctuations-global-perspective
work_keys_str_mv AT interamericandevelopmentbank housingcyclesandmacroeconomicfluctuationsaglobalperspective
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