Policy Volatility and Growth

A growing body of recent macroeconomic evidence suggests that volatility is detrimental to economic growth. The channels through which volatility affects growth, however, are less clear; substantive evidence based on disaggregate data is almost non-existent. This paper offers a framework in which policy volatility has an adverse effect on firms' entry into productive industries, thereby affecting economic growth. Empirical support for this relationship is based on a detailed dataset of thousands of firms from some 80 countries. Additional evidence is provided on the channels through which volatility affects firm growth, showing that institutional obstacles magnify the effect.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Inter-American Development Bank
Other Authors: Mark Gradstein
Format: Working Papers biblioteca
Language:English
Published: Inter-American Development Bank
Subjects:Economy, WP-578,
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0010868
https://publications.iadb.org/en/policy-volatility-and-growth
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