Skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer
We have performed GCM experiments using the National Meteorological Center's Medium Range Forecasting (MRF) model to study the skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer and to test the impact of sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) on such forecasts. The daily skill varies a great deal. The skillful daily forecasts last from 5 to 8 days for the Southern Hemisphere and from 6 to 8 days for the Northern Hemisphere. SSTAs have positive impact on the forecasts in the tropics and surface variables, but the impact of tropical SSTAs on the extra-tropical circulation is, in general, positive but small. Overall, the initial conditions play a more important role than SSTAs in determining the forecast skill.
Main Author: | |
---|---|
Format: | conference_item biblioteca |
Language: | English |
Published: |
1991
|
Subjects: | Atmospheric Sciences, Oceanography, PACLIM, |
Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1834/31425 |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
id |
dig-aquadocs-1834-31425 |
---|---|
record_format |
koha |
spelling |
dig-aquadocs-1834-314252021-07-08T03:21:42Z Skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer Mo, Kingtse C. Atmospheric Sciences Oceanography PACLIM We have performed GCM experiments using the National Meteorological Center's Medium Range Forecasting (MRF) model to study the skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer and to test the impact of sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) on such forecasts. The daily skill varies a great deal. The skillful daily forecasts last from 5 to 8 days for the Southern Hemisphere and from 6 to 8 days for the Northern Hemisphere. SSTAs have positive impact on the forecasts in the tropics and surface variables, but the impact of tropical SSTAs on the extra-tropical circulation is, in general, positive but small. Overall, the initial conditions play a more important role than SSTAs in determining the forecast skill. 2021-06-24T17:10:23Z 2021-06-24T17:10:23Z 1991 conference_item http://hdl.handle.net/1834/31425 en application/pdf application/pdf 53-58 http://aquaticcommons.org/id/eprint/15605 8 2014-11-10 21:02:51 15605 |
institution |
UNESCO |
collection |
DSpace |
country |
Francia |
countrycode |
FR |
component |
Bibliográfico |
access |
En linea |
databasecode |
dig-aquadocs |
tag |
biblioteca |
region |
Europa del Oeste |
libraryname |
Repositorio AQUADOCS |
language |
English |
topic |
Atmospheric Sciences Oceanography PACLIM Atmospheric Sciences Oceanography PACLIM |
spellingShingle |
Atmospheric Sciences Oceanography PACLIM Atmospheric Sciences Oceanography PACLIM Mo, Kingtse C. Skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer |
description |
We have performed GCM experiments using the National Meteorological Center's Medium Range Forecasting (MRF) model to study the skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer and to test the impact of sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) on such forecasts. The daily skill varies a great deal. The skillful daily forecasts last from 5 to 8 days for the Southern Hemisphere and from 6 to 8 days for the Northern Hemisphere. SSTAs have positive impact on the forecasts in the tropics and surface variables, but the impact of tropical SSTAs on the extra-tropical circulation is, in general, positive but small. Overall, the initial conditions play a more important role than SSTAs in determining the forecast skill. |
format |
conference_item |
topic_facet |
Atmospheric Sciences Oceanography PACLIM |
author |
Mo, Kingtse C. |
author_facet |
Mo, Kingtse C. |
author_sort |
Mo, Kingtse C. |
title |
Skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer |
title_short |
Skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer |
title_full |
Skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer |
title_fullStr |
Skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer |
title_full_unstemmed |
Skill of monthly forecasts during the Northern Hemisphere summer |
title_sort |
skill of monthly forecasts during the northern hemisphere summer |
publishDate |
1991 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/1834/31425 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT mokingtsec skillofmonthlyforecastsduringthenorthernhemispheresummer |
_version_ |
1756078824843378688 |