Baselines for land-use change in the tropics application to avoided deforestation projects
Although forest conservation activities, particularly in the tropics, offer significant potential for mitigating carbon (C) emissions, these types of activities have faced obstacles in the policy arena caused by the difficulty in determining key elements of the project cycle, particularly the baseline. A baseline for forest conservation has two main components: the projected land-use change and the corresponding carbon stocks in applicable pools in vegetation and soil, with land-use change being the most difficult to address analytically. In this paper we focus on developing and comparing three models, ranging from relatively simple extrapolations of past trends in land use based on simple drivers such as population growth to more complex extrapolations of past trends using spatially explicit models of land-use change driven by biophysical and socioeconomic factors.
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Texto biblioteca |
| Language: | eng |
| Subjects: | Cambio de uso de la tierra, Captura de carbono, Deforestación, Conservación de bosques, Factores socioeconómicos, Artfrosur, |
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