Recent and Prospective Adoption of Genetically Modified Cotton : A Global CGE Analysis of Economic Impacts

The authors provide estimates of the economic impact of initial adoption of genetically modified (GM) cotton and of its potential impacts beyond the few countries where it is currently common. They use the latest version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) database and model. The results suggest that by following the lead of China and South Africa, adoption of GM cotton varieties by other developing countries-especially in Sub-Saharan Africa-could provide even larger proportionate gains to farmer and national welfare than in those first-adopting countries. Furthermore, the estimated gains are shown to exceed those from a successful campaign under the World Trade Organization's Doha Development Agenda to reduce and remove cotton subsidies and import tariffs globally.

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	Valenzuela, Ernesto, Anderson, Kym, Jackson, Lee Ann
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2006-05
Subjects:	ADVERSE EFFECTS, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIES, AGRICULTURE, AIR POLLUTION, ANIMAL, ANIMAL HEALTH, BILATERAL TRADE, BIOTECHNOLOGY, CGIAR, CLOTHING, COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE, CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE, CORN, COTTON, COTTON INDUSTRY, COTTON PRODUCTION, COTTON SECTOR, CROP, CROP VARIETIES, CROPS, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, ECONOMIC EFFECTS, ECONOMIC IMPACT, ECONOMIC INTEGRATION, ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE, ECONOMIC STRUCTURES, ECONOMIC WELFARE, ECONOMICS, ENVIRONMENTAL, EQUILIBRIUM, EQUIVALENT VARIATION, EXPORTS, EXTERNALITIES, FAO, FARM, FARMER, FARMERS, FARMING, FIBERS, FLAX, FOOD CROPS, FOOD SAFETY, FOOD SAFETY ISSUES, GDP, GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS, GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL, IMPORTS, INCOME, INTERMEDIATE INPUTS, LATIN AMERICAN, MAIZE, MARKET DISTORTIONS, MILL, MILL WASTE, NET EXPORTS, PERFECT COMPETITION, PESTICIDE, PLANTING, PRODUCERS, PRODUCTIVITY, PROPERTY RIGHTS, QUOTAS, SEED, SEED COMPANIES, SEED COTTON, SEEDS, SMALL FARMERS, SOIL HEALTH, SOYBEAN, SPRING, SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA, TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION, TERMS OF TRADE, TEXTILE, TEXTILE INDUSTRY, TEXTILES, TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY, TRADE POLICY, URUGUAY ROUND, VALUE ADDED, WELFARE EFFECTS, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION, WTO, YIELDS,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/05/6779917/recent-prospective-adoption-genetically-modified-cotton-global-computable-general-equilibrium-analysis-economic-impacts https://hdl.handle.net/10986/8663
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