Adaptation to Climate Extremes in Developing Countries : The Role of Education

Adaptation to Climate Extremes in Developing Countries : The Role of Education

Global climate models predict a rise in extreme weather in the next century. To better understand future interactions among adaptation costs, socioeconomic development, and climate change in developing countries, observed losses of life from floods and droughts during 1960-2003 are modeled using three determinants: weather events, income per capita, and female education. The analysis reveals countries with high female education weathered extreme weather events better than countries with equivalent income and weather conditions. In that case, one would expect resilience to increase with economic growth and improvements in education. The relationship between resilience in the face of extreme weather events and increases in female education expenditure holds when socioeconomic development continues but the climate does not change, and socioeconomic development continues with weather paths driven by "wet" and "dry" Global Climate Models. Educating young women may be one of the best climate change disaster prevention investments in addition to high social rates of return in overall sustainable development goals.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Blankespoor, Brian, Dasgupta, Susmita, Laplante, Benoit, Wheeler, David
Language:English
Published: 2010-06-01
Subjects:ADVERSE WEATHER, AFFECTED COMMUNITIES, ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS, ANNUAL DEATHS, ATMOSPHERE, ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATION, BASES, CALCULATION, CATASTROPHIC EVENTS, CATASTROPHIC LOSSES, CENTRE FOR RESEARCH ON THE EPIDEMIOLOGY, CHANGE IN PRECIPITATION, CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE CHANGES, CLIMATE EFFECTS, CLIMATE EXTREMES, CLIMATE RESILIENCE, CLIMATE SCENARIOS, CLIMATE SYSTEM, CO, CO2, CRED, CULTURAL CHANGE, CYCLONES, DAT DATABASE, DEATH FROM FLOODS, DEATH TOLL, DEATH TOLLS, DECLARATION, DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE, DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS, DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPMENT GOALS, DISASTER, DISASTER MANAGEMENT, DISASTER PREPAREDNESS, DISASTER PREVENTION, DISASTER PREVENTION MEASURES, DISASTER REDUCTION, DISASTER RELIEF, DISASTER RESPONSE, DISASTER RISK, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION, DISASTER RISKS, DISASTERS, DISCOUNT RATE, DISCOUNT RATES, DROUGHT, DROUGHT RISK, DROUGHTS, EARTHQUAKE, EARTHQUAKES, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT, EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS, EMERGENCY SITUATIONS, EMISSIONS, EMISSIONS SCENARIO, EMPOWERING WOMEN, EXTREME EVENTS, EXTREME WEATHER, EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS, FEMALE EDUCATION, FERTILITY, FERTILITY PATTERNS, FERTILITY RATE, FERTILITY RATES, FEWER PEOPLE, FINANCIAL SUPPORT, FLOOD, FLOOD RISK, FLOODING, FLOODS, GCM, GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL WARMING, GREENHOUSE, GREENHOUSE GAS, GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATION, GREENHOUSE GASES, HEAVY RAINFALL, HIGH POPULATION GROWTH, HUMAN DEVELOPMENT, ILLNESS, IMPACT ANALYSIS, INCOME, INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE, IPCC, LIFE EXPECTANCY, LOSSES FROM FLOODS, MEDICAL TREATMENT, MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS, MORTALITY, NATIONAL EMERGENCY, NATURAL DISASTER, NATURAL DISASTERS, NEGOTIATION, NEUTRALIZATION, NUMBER OF PEOPLE, PER CAPITA INCOME, POLICY RESEARCH, POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER, POPULATION CHANGE, POPULATION PROJECTIONS, PRECIPITATION, PRESENT VALUE, PRIMARY EDUCATION, PRIMARY SCHOOL, PRIMARY SCHOOLING, PROGRESS, PUBLIC HEALTH, REGIONAL EXPENDITURES, REGIONAL LEVELS, RELIEF, RISK OF DEATH, SCENARIOS, SCHOOL STUDENTS, SECONDARY EDUCATION, SECONDARY SCHOOL, SECONDARY SCHOOLING, SELF-RELIANCE, SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT, SOCIAL RESEARCH, SOCIOECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, TEMPERATURE, TOTAL COST, TRAUMA, TSUNAMIS, TYPE OF DISASTER, VICTIMS, VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS, VULNERABILITY, VULNERABLE GROUPS, WEATHER CHANGES, WEATHER CONDITIONS, WEATHER EVENTS, WEATHER SHOCKS, WORST-CASE, WORST-CASE RISK, YOUNG WOMEN,
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100621113123
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/3827
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Summary:Global climate models predict a rise in extreme weather in the next century. To better understand future interactions among adaptation costs, socioeconomic development, and climate change in developing countries, observed losses of life from floods and droughts during 1960-2003 are modeled using three determinants: weather events, income per capita, and female education. The analysis reveals countries with high female education weathered extreme weather events better than countries with equivalent income and weather conditions. In that case, one would expect resilience to increase with economic growth and improvements in education. The relationship between resilience in the face of extreme weather events and increases in female education expenditure holds when socioeconomic development continues but the climate does not change, and socioeconomic development continues with weather paths driven by "wet" and "dry" Global Climate Models. Educating young women may be one of the best climate change disaster prevention investments in addition to high social rates of return in overall sustainable development goals.

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