Consumption Baskets and Currency Choice in International Borrowing

Most emerging markets do not borrow much internationally in their own currency, although doing that has been argued as an attractive insurance mechanism. This phenomenon, commonly labeled "the original sin", has mostly been interpreted as evidence of the countries' inability to borrow in domestic currency from abroad. This paper provides a novel explanation for that phenomenon: not that countries are unable to borrow abroad in their currency, they might not need to do so. In the model, the small prevalence of external borrowing in domestic currency arises as an equilibrium outcome, despite the absence of exogenous frictions or limits on market participation. The equilibrium outcome is driven by the fact that domestic and foreign lenders have differential consumption baskets. In particular, a large part of domestic lenders' consumption basket is denominated in domestic currency whereas all of foreign lenders' is in dollars. A depreciation of domestic currency, which tends to occur in bad times, is therefore less harmful to domestic savers than to foreign investors. This makes domestic lenders require a lower premium than foreign lenders on domestic currency debt. For plausible calibrations, this consumption basket effect can induce foreign investors to pull out of the domestic currency debt market.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bengui, Julien, Nguyen, Ha
Language:English
Published: 2011-11-01
Subjects:ACCELERATOR, AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION, ASSET POSITION, ASSETS, BAILOUT, BALANCE SHEET, BENCHMARK, BILL, BOND, BOND HOLDERS, BOND MARKET, BOND MARKETS, BOND RETURN, BONDS, BORROWING COUNTRY, BUDGET CONSTRAINT, BUDGET CONSTRAINTS, BUSINESS CYCLE, CAPITAL ACCUMULATION, CAPITAL FLOWS, CASH HOLDINGS, CLAIMANTS, COMPETITIVE MARKET, CONSUMPTION BASKET, CONSUMPTION BASKETS, CONSUMPTION DECLINE, COUNTRY RISK, CREDIT MARKETS, CURRENCY, CURRENCY COMPOSITION, CURRENCY EXPOSURES, CURRENT ACCOUNT, CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES, DEBT, DEBT DENOMINATION, DEBT MARKET, DEPRECIATION, DEVALUATIONS, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPING COUNTRY, DEVELOPMENT POLICY, DOLLAR BOND, DOLLAR BONDS, DOLLAR DEBT, DOLLAR PRICE, DOMESTIC CREDIT, DOMESTIC CURRENCIES, DOMESTIC CURRENCY, DOMESTIC ECONOMY, DOMESTIC MARKET, DOMESTIC MONETARY POLICY, DOMESTIC WORKERS, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, ECONOMIC RESEARCH, ELASTICITY, ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION, EMERGING ECONOMIES, EMERGING MARKET, EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES, EMERGING MARKETS, EMPLOYMENT, EQUATIONS, EQUILIBRIUM, EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS, EXCESS RETURN, EXCHANGE RATE, EXCHANGE RATES, EXOGENOUS RATE, EXPENDITURES, EXTERNAL BORROWING, EXTERNAL DEBT, EXTERNALITIES, EXTERNALITY, FINANCIAL CRISES, FINANCIAL EXCHANGE, FINANCIAL FRAGILITY, FINANCIAL INSTABILITY, FOREIGN CURRENCY, FOREIGN DEBT, FOREIGN INCOME, FOREIGN INVESTOR, FOREIGN INVESTORS, FOREIGN LENDERS, FOREIGN MARKETS, GDP, HEDGES, HOLDING, HOLDINGS, IMPLICIT CONTRACT, IMPLICIT CONTRACTS, IMPORTS, INCOME SHOCKS, INCOMPLETE MARKETS, INFLATION, INSTRUMENT, INSURANCE, INSURER, INTEREST RATE, INTERNATIONAL BANK, INTERNATIONAL BORROWING, INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL, INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS, INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY, INTERNATIONAL DEBT, INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS, INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION, INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, INTERNATIONAL FINANCE, INTERNATIONAL PRICE, LABOR DEMAND, LABOR MARKET, LABOR SUPPLY, LACK OF CREDIBILITY, LEVY, LOAN, LOAN MARKET, LOCAL CURRENCIES, LOCAL CURRENCY, MACROECONOMICS, MARKET STRUCTURES, MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES, MONETARY POLICY, MONEY HOLDING, MONEY HOLDINGS, MONEY SUPPLY, MORAL HAZARD, MUTUAL FUNDS, NEGATIVE SHOCK, NOMINAL WAGE, OPEN ECONOMY, POLITICAL ECONOMY, PORTFOLIO, PORTFOLIO CHOICE, PORTFOLIO CHOICES, PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS, PORTFOLIOS, PRIVATE CREDIT, PRODUCTION FUNCTION, PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS, PRODUCTION STRUCTURE, PRODUCTIVITY, RANDOM VARIABLES, REAL EXCHANGE RATE, REAL SHOCK, REAL SHOCKS, REAL WAGES, REPAYMENTS, RETURN, RISK AVERSE, RISK PREMIUM, RISK SHARING, SHARE OF CAPITAL, SMALL COUNTRIES, SMALL COUNTRY, SMALL ECONOMY, SOCIAL RISKS, SOURCE OF UNCERTAINTY, STANDARD DEVIATION, STANDARD DEVIATIONS, STEADY STATE, STEADY STATE LEVEL, STICKY PRICES, STICKY WAGES, SUPPLIERS, SUPPLY SHOCK, TOTAL OUTPUT, TRADABLE GOOD, TRADABLE GOODS, UTILITY FUNCTION, VOLATILITIES, VOLATILITY, WAGES, WEALTH, WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS, WORLD INTEREST RATE,
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https://hdl.handle.net/10986/3636
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libraryname Biblioteca del Banco Mundial
language English
topic ACCELERATOR
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
ASSET POSITION
ASSETS
BAILOUT
BALANCE SHEET
BENCHMARK
BILL
BOND
BOND HOLDERS
BOND MARKET
BOND MARKETS
BOND RETURN
BONDS
BORROWING COUNTRY
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOWS
CASH HOLDINGS
CLAIMANTS
COMPETITIVE MARKET
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION BASKETS
CONSUMPTION DECLINE
COUNTRY RISK
CREDIT MARKETS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY COMPOSITION
CURRENCY EXPOSURES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
DEBT
DEBT DENOMINATION
DEBT MARKET
DEPRECIATION
DEVALUATIONS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOLLAR BOND
DOLLAR BONDS
DOLLAR DEBT
DOLLAR PRICE
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC CURRENCIES
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MONETARY POLICY
DOMESTIC WORKERS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS
EXCESS RETURN
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS RATE
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL EXCHANGE
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTABILITY
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN INCOME
FOREIGN INVESTOR
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN LENDERS
FOREIGN MARKETS
GDP
HEDGES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT CONTRACT
IMPLICIT CONTRACTS
IMPORTS
INCOME SHOCKS
INCOMPLETE MARKETS
INFLATION
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURER
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS
INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL PRICE
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR MARKET
LABOR SUPPLY
LACK OF CREDIBILITY
LEVY
LOAN
LOAN MARKET
LOCAL CURRENCIES
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMICS
MARKET STRUCTURES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY HOLDING
MONEY HOLDINGS
MONEY SUPPLY
MORAL HAZARD
MUTUAL FUNDS
NEGATIVE SHOCK
NOMINAL WAGE
OPEN ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO CHOICE
PORTFOLIO CHOICES
PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS
PORTFOLIOS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTION STRUCTURE
PRODUCTIVITY
RANDOM VARIABLES
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL SHOCK
REAL SHOCKS
REAL WAGES
REPAYMENTS
RETURN
RISK AVERSE
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
SHARE OF CAPITAL
SMALL COUNTRIES
SMALL COUNTRY
SMALL ECONOMY
SOCIAL RISKS
SOURCE OF UNCERTAINTY
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STEADY STATE
STEADY STATE LEVEL
STICKY PRICES
STICKY WAGES
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY SHOCK
TOTAL OUTPUT
TRADABLE GOOD
TRADABLE GOODS
UTILITY FUNCTION
VOLATILITIES
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD INTEREST RATE
ACCELERATOR
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
ASSET POSITION
ASSETS
BAILOUT
BALANCE SHEET
BENCHMARK
BILL
BOND
BOND HOLDERS
BOND MARKET
BOND MARKETS
BOND RETURN
BONDS
BORROWING COUNTRY
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOWS
CASH HOLDINGS
CLAIMANTS
COMPETITIVE MARKET
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION BASKETS
CONSUMPTION DECLINE
COUNTRY RISK
CREDIT MARKETS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY COMPOSITION
CURRENCY EXPOSURES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
DEBT
DEBT DENOMINATION
DEBT MARKET
DEPRECIATION
DEVALUATIONS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOLLAR BOND
DOLLAR BONDS
DOLLAR DEBT
DOLLAR PRICE
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC CURRENCIES
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MONETARY POLICY
DOMESTIC WORKERS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS
EXCESS RETURN
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS RATE
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL EXCHANGE
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTABILITY
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN INCOME
FOREIGN INVESTOR
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN LENDERS
FOREIGN MARKETS
GDP
HEDGES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT CONTRACT
IMPLICIT CONTRACTS
IMPORTS
INCOME SHOCKS
INCOMPLETE MARKETS
INFLATION
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURER
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS
INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL PRICE
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR MARKET
LABOR SUPPLY
LACK OF CREDIBILITY
LEVY
LOAN
LOAN MARKET
LOCAL CURRENCIES
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMICS
MARKET STRUCTURES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY HOLDING
MONEY HOLDINGS
MONEY SUPPLY
MORAL HAZARD
MUTUAL FUNDS
NEGATIVE SHOCK
NOMINAL WAGE
OPEN ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO CHOICE
PORTFOLIO CHOICES
PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS
PORTFOLIOS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTION STRUCTURE
PRODUCTIVITY
RANDOM VARIABLES
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL SHOCK
REAL SHOCKS
REAL WAGES
REPAYMENTS
RETURN
RISK AVERSE
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
SHARE OF CAPITAL
SMALL COUNTRIES
SMALL COUNTRY
SMALL ECONOMY
SOCIAL RISKS
SOURCE OF UNCERTAINTY
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STEADY STATE
STEADY STATE LEVEL
STICKY PRICES
STICKY WAGES
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY SHOCK
TOTAL OUTPUT
TRADABLE GOOD
TRADABLE GOODS
UTILITY FUNCTION
VOLATILITIES
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD INTEREST RATE
spellingShingle ACCELERATOR
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
ASSET POSITION
ASSETS
BAILOUT
BALANCE SHEET
BENCHMARK
BILL
BOND
BOND HOLDERS
BOND MARKET
BOND MARKETS
BOND RETURN
BONDS
BORROWING COUNTRY
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOWS
CASH HOLDINGS
CLAIMANTS
COMPETITIVE MARKET
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION BASKETS
CONSUMPTION DECLINE
COUNTRY RISK
CREDIT MARKETS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY COMPOSITION
CURRENCY EXPOSURES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
DEBT
DEBT DENOMINATION
DEBT MARKET
DEPRECIATION
DEVALUATIONS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOLLAR BOND
DOLLAR BONDS
DOLLAR DEBT
DOLLAR PRICE
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC CURRENCIES
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MONETARY POLICY
DOMESTIC WORKERS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS
EXCESS RETURN
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS RATE
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL EXCHANGE
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTABILITY
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN INCOME
FOREIGN INVESTOR
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN LENDERS
FOREIGN MARKETS
GDP
HEDGES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT CONTRACT
IMPLICIT CONTRACTS
IMPORTS
INCOME SHOCKS
INCOMPLETE MARKETS
INFLATION
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURER
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS
INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL PRICE
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR MARKET
LABOR SUPPLY
LACK OF CREDIBILITY
LEVY
LOAN
LOAN MARKET
LOCAL CURRENCIES
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMICS
MARKET STRUCTURES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY HOLDING
MONEY HOLDINGS
MONEY SUPPLY
MORAL HAZARD
MUTUAL FUNDS
NEGATIVE SHOCK
NOMINAL WAGE
OPEN ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO CHOICE
PORTFOLIO CHOICES
PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS
PORTFOLIOS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTION STRUCTURE
PRODUCTIVITY
RANDOM VARIABLES
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL SHOCK
REAL SHOCKS
REAL WAGES
REPAYMENTS
RETURN
RISK AVERSE
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
SHARE OF CAPITAL
SMALL COUNTRIES
SMALL COUNTRY
SMALL ECONOMY
SOCIAL RISKS
SOURCE OF UNCERTAINTY
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STEADY STATE
STEADY STATE LEVEL
STICKY PRICES
STICKY WAGES
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY SHOCK
TOTAL OUTPUT
TRADABLE GOOD
TRADABLE GOODS
UTILITY FUNCTION
VOLATILITIES
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD INTEREST RATE
ACCELERATOR
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
ASSET POSITION
ASSETS
BAILOUT
BALANCE SHEET
BENCHMARK
BILL
BOND
BOND HOLDERS
BOND MARKET
BOND MARKETS
BOND RETURN
BONDS
BORROWING COUNTRY
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOWS
CASH HOLDINGS
CLAIMANTS
COMPETITIVE MARKET
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION BASKETS
CONSUMPTION DECLINE
COUNTRY RISK
CREDIT MARKETS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY COMPOSITION
CURRENCY EXPOSURES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
DEBT
DEBT DENOMINATION
DEBT MARKET
DEPRECIATION
DEVALUATIONS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOLLAR BOND
DOLLAR BONDS
DOLLAR DEBT
DOLLAR PRICE
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC CURRENCIES
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MONETARY POLICY
DOMESTIC WORKERS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS
EXCESS RETURN
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS RATE
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL EXCHANGE
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTABILITY
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN INCOME
FOREIGN INVESTOR
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN LENDERS
FOREIGN MARKETS
GDP
HEDGES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT CONTRACT
IMPLICIT CONTRACTS
IMPORTS
INCOME SHOCKS
INCOMPLETE MARKETS
INFLATION
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURER
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS
INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL PRICE
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR MARKET
LABOR SUPPLY
LACK OF CREDIBILITY
LEVY
LOAN
LOAN MARKET
LOCAL CURRENCIES
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMICS
MARKET STRUCTURES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY HOLDING
MONEY HOLDINGS
MONEY SUPPLY
MORAL HAZARD
MUTUAL FUNDS
NEGATIVE SHOCK
NOMINAL WAGE
OPEN ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO CHOICE
PORTFOLIO CHOICES
PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS
PORTFOLIOS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTION STRUCTURE
PRODUCTIVITY
RANDOM VARIABLES
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL SHOCK
REAL SHOCKS
REAL WAGES
REPAYMENTS
RETURN
RISK AVERSE
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
SHARE OF CAPITAL
SMALL COUNTRIES
SMALL COUNTRY
SMALL ECONOMY
SOCIAL RISKS
SOURCE OF UNCERTAINTY
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STEADY STATE
STEADY STATE LEVEL
STICKY PRICES
STICKY WAGES
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY SHOCK
TOTAL OUTPUT
TRADABLE GOOD
TRADABLE GOODS
UTILITY FUNCTION
VOLATILITIES
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD INTEREST RATE
Bengui, Julien
Nguyen, Ha
Consumption Baskets and Currency Choice in International Borrowing
description Most emerging markets do not borrow much internationally in their own currency, although doing that has been argued as an attractive insurance mechanism. This phenomenon, commonly labeled "the original sin", has mostly been interpreted as evidence of the countries' inability to borrow in domestic currency from abroad. This paper provides a novel explanation for that phenomenon: not that countries are unable to borrow abroad in their currency, they might not need to do so. In the model, the small prevalence of external borrowing in domestic currency arises as an equilibrium outcome, despite the absence of exogenous frictions or limits on market participation. The equilibrium outcome is driven by the fact that domestic and foreign lenders have differential consumption baskets. In particular, a large part of domestic lenders' consumption basket is denominated in domestic currency whereas all of foreign lenders' is in dollars. A depreciation of domestic currency, which tends to occur in bad times, is therefore less harmful to domestic savers than to foreign investors. This makes domestic lenders require a lower premium than foreign lenders on domestic currency debt. For plausible calibrations, this consumption basket effect can induce foreign investors to pull out of the domestic currency debt market.
topic_facet ACCELERATOR
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
ASSET POSITION
ASSETS
BAILOUT
BALANCE SHEET
BENCHMARK
BILL
BOND
BOND HOLDERS
BOND MARKET
BOND MARKETS
BOND RETURN
BONDS
BORROWING COUNTRY
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOWS
CASH HOLDINGS
CLAIMANTS
COMPETITIVE MARKET
CONSUMPTION BASKET
CONSUMPTION BASKETS
CONSUMPTION DECLINE
COUNTRY RISK
CREDIT MARKETS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY COMPOSITION
CURRENCY EXPOSURES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
DEBT
DEBT DENOMINATION
DEBT MARKET
DEPRECIATION
DEVALUATIONS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOLLAR BOND
DOLLAR BONDS
DOLLAR DEBT
DOLLAR PRICE
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC CURRENCIES
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MONETARY POLICY
DOMESTIC WORKERS
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM
EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS
EXCESS RETURN
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS RATE
EXPENDITURES
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNALITIES
EXTERNALITY
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL EXCHANGE
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTABILITY
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN INCOME
FOREIGN INVESTOR
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN LENDERS
FOREIGN MARKETS
GDP
HEDGES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT CONTRACT
IMPLICIT CONTRACTS
IMPORTS
INCOME SHOCKS
INCOMPLETE MARKETS
INFLATION
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURER
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS
INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL PRICE
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR MARKET
LABOR SUPPLY
LACK OF CREDIBILITY
LEVY
LOAN
LOAN MARKET
LOCAL CURRENCIES
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMICS
MARKET STRUCTURES
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY HOLDING
MONEY HOLDINGS
MONEY SUPPLY
MORAL HAZARD
MUTUAL FUNDS
NEGATIVE SHOCK
NOMINAL WAGE
OPEN ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO CHOICE
PORTFOLIO CHOICES
PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS
PORTFOLIOS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTION STRUCTURE
PRODUCTIVITY
RANDOM VARIABLES
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL SHOCK
REAL SHOCKS
REAL WAGES
REPAYMENTS
RETURN
RISK AVERSE
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
SHARE OF CAPITAL
SMALL COUNTRIES
SMALL COUNTRY
SMALL ECONOMY
SOCIAL RISKS
SOURCE OF UNCERTAINTY
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STEADY STATE
STEADY STATE LEVEL
STICKY PRICES
STICKY WAGES
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY SHOCK
TOTAL OUTPUT
TRADABLE GOOD
TRADABLE GOODS
UTILITY FUNCTION
VOLATILITIES
VOLATILITY
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD INTEREST RATE
author Bengui, Julien
Nguyen, Ha
author_facet Bengui, Julien
Nguyen, Ha
author_sort Bengui, Julien
title Consumption Baskets and Currency Choice in International Borrowing
title_short Consumption Baskets and Currency Choice in International Borrowing
title_full Consumption Baskets and Currency Choice in International Borrowing
title_fullStr Consumption Baskets and Currency Choice in International Borrowing
title_full_unstemmed Consumption Baskets and Currency Choice in International Borrowing
title_sort consumption baskets and currency choice in international borrowing
publishDate 2011-11-01
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111103142914
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/3636
work_keys_str_mv AT benguijulien consumptionbasketsandcurrencychoiceininternationalborrowing
AT nguyenha consumptionbasketsandcurrencychoiceininternationalborrowing
_version_ 1809105352703082496
spelling dig-okr-1098636362024-08-08T15:31:09Z Consumption Baskets and Currency Choice in International Borrowing Bengui, Julien Nguyen, Ha ACCELERATOR AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION ASSET POSITION ASSETS BAILOUT BALANCE SHEET BENCHMARK BILL BOND BOND HOLDERS BOND MARKET BOND MARKETS BOND RETURN BONDS BORROWING COUNTRY BUDGET CONSTRAINT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS BUSINESS CYCLE CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FLOWS CASH HOLDINGS CLAIMANTS COMPETITIVE MARKET CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION BASKETS CONSUMPTION DECLINE COUNTRY RISK CREDIT MARKETS CURRENCY CURRENCY COMPOSITION CURRENCY EXPOSURES CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES DEBT DEBT DENOMINATION DEBT MARKET DEPRECIATION DEVALUATIONS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT POLICY DOLLAR BOND DOLLAR BONDS DOLLAR DEBT DOLLAR PRICE DOMESTIC CREDIT DOMESTIC CURRENCIES DOMESTIC CURRENCY DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MONETARY POLICY DOMESTIC WORKERS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC RESEARCH ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS EQUILIBRIUM EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS EXCESS RETURN EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATES EXOGENOUS RATE EXPENDITURES EXTERNAL BORROWING EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNALITIES EXTERNALITY FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL EXCHANGE FINANCIAL FRAGILITY FINANCIAL INSTABILITY FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN DEBT FOREIGN INCOME FOREIGN INVESTOR FOREIGN INVESTORS FOREIGN LENDERS FOREIGN MARKETS GDP HEDGES HOLDING HOLDINGS IMPLICIT CONTRACT IMPLICIT CONTRACTS IMPORTS INCOME SHOCKS INCOMPLETE MARKETS INFLATION INSTRUMENT INSURANCE INSURER INTEREST RATE INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL BORROWING INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY INTERNATIONAL DEBT INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL FINANCE INTERNATIONAL PRICE LABOR DEMAND LABOR MARKET LABOR SUPPLY LACK OF CREDIBILITY LEVY LOAN LOAN MARKET LOCAL CURRENCIES LOCAL CURRENCY MACROECONOMICS MARKET STRUCTURES MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES MONETARY POLICY MONEY HOLDING MONEY HOLDINGS MONEY SUPPLY MORAL HAZARD MUTUAL FUNDS NEGATIVE SHOCK NOMINAL WAGE OPEN ECONOMY POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO CHOICE PORTFOLIO CHOICES PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS PORTFOLIOS PRIVATE CREDIT PRODUCTION FUNCTION PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS PRODUCTION STRUCTURE PRODUCTIVITY RANDOM VARIABLES REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL SHOCK REAL SHOCKS REAL WAGES REPAYMENTS RETURN RISK AVERSE RISK PREMIUM RISK SHARING SHARE OF CAPITAL SMALL COUNTRIES SMALL COUNTRY SMALL ECONOMY SOCIAL RISKS SOURCE OF UNCERTAINTY STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD DEVIATIONS STEADY STATE STEADY STATE LEVEL STICKY PRICES STICKY WAGES SUPPLIERS SUPPLY SHOCK TOTAL OUTPUT TRADABLE GOOD TRADABLE GOODS UTILITY FUNCTION VOLATILITIES VOLATILITY WAGES WEALTH WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLD INTEREST RATE Most emerging markets do not borrow much internationally in their own currency, although doing that has been argued as an attractive insurance mechanism. This phenomenon, commonly labeled "the original sin", has mostly been interpreted as evidence of the countries' inability to borrow in domestic currency from abroad. This paper provides a novel explanation for that phenomenon: not that countries are unable to borrow abroad in their currency, they might not need to do so. In the model, the small prevalence of external borrowing in domestic currency arises as an equilibrium outcome, despite the absence of exogenous frictions or limits on market participation. The equilibrium outcome is driven by the fact that domestic and foreign lenders have differential consumption baskets. In particular, a large part of domestic lenders' consumption basket is denominated in domestic currency whereas all of foreign lenders' is in dollars. A depreciation of domestic currency, which tends to occur in bad times, is therefore less harmful to domestic savers than to foreign investors. This makes domestic lenders require a lower premium than foreign lenders on domestic currency debt. For plausible calibrations, this consumption basket effect can induce foreign investors to pull out of the domestic currency debt market. 2012-03-19T18:05:58Z 2012-03-19T18:05:58Z 2011-11-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111103142914 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/3636 English Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5870 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain