Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River
The streamflow of the Yellow River (YR) is strongly affected by human activities like irrigation and dam operation. Many attribution studies have focused on the long-term trends of streamflows, yet the contributions of these anthropogenic factors to streamflow fluctuations have not been well quantified with fully mechanistic mod- els. This study aims to (1) demonstrate whether the mech- anistic global land surface model ORCHIDEE (ORganiz- ing Carbon and Hydrology in Dynamic EcosystEms) is able to simulate the streamflows of this complex rivers with hu- man activities using a generic parameterization for human activities and (2) preliminarily quantify the roles of irriga- tion and dam operation in monthly streamflow fluctuations of the YR from 1982 to 2014 with a newly developed ir- rigation module and an offline dam operation model. Val- idations with observed streamflows near the outlet of the YR demonstrated that model performances improved notably with incrementally considering irrigation (mean square er- ror (MSE) decreased by 56.9 %) and dam operation (MSE decreased by another 30.5 %). Irrigation withdrawals were found to substantially reduce the river streamflows by ap- proximately 242.8 ± 27.8 × 108 m3 yr−1 in line with inde- pendent census data (231.4 ± 31.6 × 108 m3 yr−1). Dam op- eration does not change the mean streamflows in our model, but it impacts streamflow seasonality, more than the seasonal change of precipitation. By only considering generic opera- tion schemes, our dam model is able to reproduce the water storage changes of the two large reservoirs, LongYangXia and LiuJiaXia (correlation coefficient of ∼ 0.9). Moreover, other commonly neglected factors, such as the large opera- tion contribution from multiple medium/small reservoirs, the dominance of large irrigation districts for streamflows (e.g., the Hetao Plateau), and special management policies dur- ing extreme years, are highlighted in this study. Related pro- cesses should be integrated into models to better project fu- ture YR water resources under climate change and optimize adaption strategies.
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Format: | article biblioteca |
Language: | eng |
Subjects: | modèle de simulation, irrigation, facteur anthropogène, hydrologie, adaptation aux changements climatiques, changement climatique, cycle du carbone, barrage, utilisation des terres, modèle mathématique, stockage, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3954, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34996, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3731, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_17299, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2121, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4182, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24199, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7427, |
Online Access: | http://agritrop.cirad.fr/605796/ http://agritrop.cirad.fr/605796/1/ID605796.pdf |
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modèle de simulation irrigation facteur anthropogène hydrologie adaptation aux changements climatiques changement climatique cycle du carbone barrage utilisation des terres modèle mathématique stockage http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3954 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34996 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3731 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_17299 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2121 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4182 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24199 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7427 modèle de simulation irrigation facteur anthropogène hydrologie adaptation aux changements climatiques changement climatique cycle du carbone barrage utilisation des terres modèle mathématique stockage http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3954 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34996 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3731 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_17299 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2121 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4182 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24199 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7427 |
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modèle de simulation irrigation facteur anthropogène hydrologie adaptation aux changements climatiques changement climatique cycle du carbone barrage utilisation des terres modèle mathématique stockage http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3954 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34996 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3731 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_17299 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2121 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4182 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24199 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7427 modèle de simulation irrigation facteur anthropogène hydrologie adaptation aux changements climatiques changement climatique cycle du carbone barrage utilisation des terres modèle mathématique stockage http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3954 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34996 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3731 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_17299 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2121 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4182 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24199 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7427 Yin, Zun Ottle, Catherine Ciais, Philippe Zhou, Feng Wang, Xuhui Jan, Polcher Dumas, Patrice Peng, Shushi Li, Laurent Zhou, Xudong Bo, Yan Xi, Yi Piao, Shilong Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River |
description |
The streamflow of the Yellow River (YR) is strongly affected by human activities like irrigation and dam operation. Many attribution studies have focused on the long-term trends of streamflows, yet the contributions of these anthropogenic factors to streamflow fluctuations have not been well quantified with fully mechanistic mod- els. This study aims to (1) demonstrate whether the mech- anistic global land surface model ORCHIDEE (ORganiz- ing Carbon and Hydrology in Dynamic EcosystEms) is able to simulate the streamflows of this complex rivers with hu- man activities using a generic parameterization for human activities and (2) preliminarily quantify the roles of irriga- tion and dam operation in monthly streamflow fluctuations of the YR from 1982 to 2014 with a newly developed ir- rigation module and an offline dam operation model. Val- idations with observed streamflows near the outlet of the YR demonstrated that model performances improved notably with incrementally considering irrigation (mean square er- ror (MSE) decreased by 56.9 %) and dam operation (MSE decreased by another 30.5 %). Irrigation withdrawals were found to substantially reduce the river streamflows by ap- proximately 242.8 ± 27.8 × 108 m3 yr−1 in line with inde- pendent census data (231.4 ± 31.6 × 108 m3 yr−1). Dam op- eration does not change the mean streamflows in our model, but it impacts streamflow seasonality, more than the seasonal change of precipitation. By only considering generic opera- tion schemes, our dam model is able to reproduce the water storage changes of the two large reservoirs, LongYangXia and LiuJiaXia (correlation coefficient of ∼ 0.9). Moreover, other commonly neglected factors, such as the large opera- tion contribution from multiple medium/small reservoirs, the dominance of large irrigation districts for streamflows (e.g., the Hetao Plateau), and special management policies dur- ing extreme years, are highlighted in this study. Related pro- cesses should be integrated into models to better project fu- ture YR water resources under climate change and optimize adaption strategies. |
format |
article |
topic_facet |
modèle de simulation irrigation facteur anthropogène hydrologie adaptation aux changements climatiques changement climatique cycle du carbone barrage utilisation des terres modèle mathématique stockage http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3954 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34996 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3731 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_17299 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2121 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4182 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24199 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7427 |
author |
Yin, Zun Ottle, Catherine Ciais, Philippe Zhou, Feng Wang, Xuhui Jan, Polcher Dumas, Patrice Peng, Shushi Li, Laurent Zhou, Xudong Bo, Yan Xi, Yi Piao, Shilong |
author_facet |
Yin, Zun Ottle, Catherine Ciais, Philippe Zhou, Feng Wang, Xuhui Jan, Polcher Dumas, Patrice Peng, Shushi Li, Laurent Zhou, Xudong Bo, Yan Xi, Yi Piao, Shilong |
author_sort |
Yin, Zun |
title |
Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River |
title_short |
Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River |
title_full |
Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River |
title_fullStr |
Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River |
title_full_unstemmed |
Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River |
title_sort |
irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the yellow river |
url |
http://agritrop.cirad.fr/605796/ http://agritrop.cirad.fr/605796/1/ID605796.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT yinzun irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT ottlecatherine irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT ciaisphilippe irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT zhoufeng irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT wangxuhui irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT janpolcher irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT dumaspatrice irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT pengshushi irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT lilaurent irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT zhouxudong irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT boyan irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT xiyi irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver AT piaoshilong irrigationdammingandstreamflowfluctuationsoftheyellowriver |
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dig-cirad-fr-6057962024-01-29T06:06:28Z http://agritrop.cirad.fr/605796/ http://agritrop.cirad.fr/605796/ Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River. Yin Zun, Ottle Catherine, Ciais Philippe, Zhou Feng, Wang Xuhui, Jan Polcher, Dumas Patrice, Peng Shushi, Li Laurent, Zhou Xudong, Bo Yan, Xi Yi, Piao Shilong. 2021. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25 (3) : 1133-1150.https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1133-2021 <https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1133-2021> Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River Yin, Zun Ottle, Catherine Ciais, Philippe Zhou, Feng Wang, Xuhui Jan, Polcher Dumas, Patrice Peng, Shushi Li, Laurent Zhou, Xudong Bo, Yan Xi, Yi Piao, Shilong eng 2021 Hydrology and Earth System Sciences modèle de simulation irrigation facteur anthropogène hydrologie adaptation aux changements climatiques changement climatique cycle du carbone barrage utilisation des terres modèle mathématique stockage http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3954 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34996 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3731 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_17299 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2121 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4182 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24199 http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7427 The streamflow of the Yellow River (YR) is strongly affected by human activities like irrigation and dam operation. Many attribution studies have focused on the long-term trends of streamflows, yet the contributions of these anthropogenic factors to streamflow fluctuations have not been well quantified with fully mechanistic mod- els. This study aims to (1) demonstrate whether the mech- anistic global land surface model ORCHIDEE (ORganiz- ing Carbon and Hydrology in Dynamic EcosystEms) is able to simulate the streamflows of this complex rivers with hu- man activities using a generic parameterization for human activities and (2) preliminarily quantify the roles of irriga- tion and dam operation in monthly streamflow fluctuations of the YR from 1982 to 2014 with a newly developed ir- rigation module and an offline dam operation model. Val- idations with observed streamflows near the outlet of the YR demonstrated that model performances improved notably with incrementally considering irrigation (mean square er- ror (MSE) decreased by 56.9 %) and dam operation (MSE decreased by another 30.5 %). Irrigation withdrawals were found to substantially reduce the river streamflows by ap- proximately 242.8 ± 27.8 × 108 m3 yr−1 in line with inde- pendent census data (231.4 ± 31.6 × 108 m3 yr−1). Dam op- eration does not change the mean streamflows in our model, but it impacts streamflow seasonality, more than the seasonal change of precipitation. By only considering generic opera- tion schemes, our dam model is able to reproduce the water storage changes of the two large reservoirs, LongYangXia and LiuJiaXia (correlation coefficient of ∼ 0.9). Moreover, other commonly neglected factors, such as the large opera- tion contribution from multiple medium/small reservoirs, the dominance of large irrigation districts for streamflows (e.g., the Hetao Plateau), and special management policies dur- ing extreme years, are highlighted in this study. Related pro- cesses should be integrated into models to better project fu- ture YR water resources under climate change and optimize adaption strategies. article info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal Article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://agritrop.cirad.fr/605796/1/ID605796.pdf text cc_by info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1133-2021 10.5194/hess-25-1133-2021 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/hess-25-1133-2021 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/purl/https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1133-2021 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement///ANR-15-CE01-0011//(FRA) Tendances des deux grands fleuves Chinois, effets de l'usage des sols et du changement climatique/CHINA-TREND-STREAM |