El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem
Understanding long-term climatic variability is basic to wise management and conservation of biodiversity. We analysed temporal variations in the local rainfall, temperature, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and the hemispheric El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), using the Southern Oscillation Index and how they co varied in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem of Kenya and Tanzania. Local rainfall showed a striking temporal variability and an evident 5-year quasi-periodicity in the ecosystem. Severe droughts were a recurrent/persistent feature of the ecosystem but extreme floods were relatively infrequent. The timings of droughts and floods coincided with strong episodes in the activities of the ENSO phenomenon. Above-average rainfall often accompanied cold ENSO episodes and below-average rainfall warm ENSO events, contrary to past generalizations suggesting that warm ENSO events are only associated with above-average rainfall whereas cold ENSO events with below-average rainfall in equatorial East Africa. Both minimum and maximum temperatures were below-normal during cold ENSO episodes and above-normal during warm ENSO events. Rising temperatures and declining rainfall throughout the 1990s and early 2000s, with unprecedently prolonged and strong ENSO episodes, engendered progressive habitat desiccation and reduction in vegetation production in the ecosystem. This exacerbated the debilitating effects of adverse weather on local plant and animal communities, resulting in high mortalities of ungulates.
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Format: | Journal Article biblioteca |
Language: | English |
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Wiley
2008-06
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Subjects: | drought, flooded land, ungulates, mortality, climate change, weather hazards, rain, temperature, vegetation, ecosystems, |
Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29982 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2028.2007.00821.x |
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dig-cgspace-10568-299822023-12-27T20:02:34Z El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem Ogutu, Joseph O. Piepho, Hans-Peter Dublin, H.T. Bhola, N. Reid, S. drought flooded land ungulates mortality climate change weather hazards rain temperature vegetation ecosystems Understanding long-term climatic variability is basic to wise management and conservation of biodiversity. We analysed temporal variations in the local rainfall, temperature, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and the hemispheric El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), using the Southern Oscillation Index and how they co varied in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem of Kenya and Tanzania. Local rainfall showed a striking temporal variability and an evident 5-year quasi-periodicity in the ecosystem. Severe droughts were a recurrent/persistent feature of the ecosystem but extreme floods were relatively infrequent. The timings of droughts and floods coincided with strong episodes in the activities of the ENSO phenomenon. Above-average rainfall often accompanied cold ENSO episodes and below-average rainfall warm ENSO events, contrary to past generalizations suggesting that warm ENSO events are only associated with above-average rainfall whereas cold ENSO events with below-average rainfall in equatorial East Africa. Both minimum and maximum temperatures were below-normal during cold ENSO episodes and above-normal during warm ENSO events. Rising temperatures and declining rainfall throughout the 1990s and early 2000s, with unprecedently prolonged and strong ENSO episodes, engendered progressive habitat desiccation and reduction in vegetation production in the ecosystem. This exacerbated the debilitating effects of adverse weather on local plant and animal communities, resulting in high mortalities of ungulates. 2008-06 2013-06-11T09:25:42Z 2013-06-11T09:25:42Z Journal Article African Journal of Ecology;46(2): 132-143 0141-6707 1365-2028 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29982 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2028.2007.00821.x en Copyrighted; all rights reserved Limited Access p. 132-143 Wiley African Journal of Ecology |
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drought flooded land ungulates mortality climate change weather hazards rain temperature vegetation ecosystems drought flooded land ungulates mortality climate change weather hazards rain temperature vegetation ecosystems |
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drought flooded land ungulates mortality climate change weather hazards rain temperature vegetation ecosystems drought flooded land ungulates mortality climate change weather hazards rain temperature vegetation ecosystems Ogutu, Joseph O. Piepho, Hans-Peter Dublin, H.T. Bhola, N. Reid, S. El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem |
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Understanding long-term climatic variability is basic to wise management and conservation of biodiversity. We analysed temporal variations in the local rainfall, temperature, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and the hemispheric El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), using the Southern Oscillation Index and how they co varied in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem of Kenya and Tanzania. Local rainfall showed a striking temporal variability and an evident 5-year quasi-periodicity in the ecosystem. Severe droughts were a recurrent/persistent feature of the ecosystem but extreme floods were relatively infrequent. The timings of droughts and floods coincided with strong episodes in the activities of the ENSO phenomenon. Above-average rainfall often accompanied cold ENSO episodes and below-average rainfall warm ENSO events, contrary to past generalizations suggesting that warm ENSO events are only associated with above-average rainfall whereas cold ENSO events with below-average rainfall in equatorial East Africa. Both minimum and maximum temperatures were below-normal during cold ENSO episodes and above-normal during warm ENSO events. Rising temperatures and declining rainfall throughout the 1990s and early 2000s, with unprecedently prolonged and strong ENSO episodes, engendered progressive habitat desiccation and reduction in vegetation production in the ecosystem. This exacerbated the debilitating effects of adverse weather on local plant and animal communities, resulting in high mortalities of ungulates. |
format |
Journal Article |
topic_facet |
drought flooded land ungulates mortality climate change weather hazards rain temperature vegetation ecosystems |
author |
Ogutu, Joseph O. Piepho, Hans-Peter Dublin, H.T. Bhola, N. Reid, S. |
author_facet |
Ogutu, Joseph O. Piepho, Hans-Peter Dublin, H.T. Bhola, N. Reid, S. |
author_sort |
Ogutu, Joseph O. |
title |
El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem |
title_short |
El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem |
title_full |
El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem |
title_fullStr |
El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem |
title_full_unstemmed |
El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem |
title_sort |
el niño-southern oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the mara-serengeti ecosystem |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2008-06 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29982 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2028.2007.00821.x |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT ogutujosepho elninosouthernoscillationrainfalltemperatureandnormalizeddifferencevegetationindexfluctuationsinthemaraserengetiecosystem AT piephohanspeter elninosouthernoscillationrainfalltemperatureandnormalizeddifferencevegetationindexfluctuationsinthemaraserengetiecosystem AT dublinht elninosouthernoscillationrainfalltemperatureandnormalizeddifferencevegetationindexfluctuationsinthemaraserengetiecosystem AT bholan elninosouthernoscillationrainfalltemperatureandnormalizeddifferencevegetationindexfluctuationsinthemaraserengetiecosystem AT reids elninosouthernoscillationrainfalltemperatureandnormalizeddifferencevegetationindexfluctuationsinthemaraserengetiecosystem |
_version_ |
1787232037988466688 |