Population and trends in the global mean temperature

ABSTRACT The Fisher ideal index, developed to measure price inflation, is applied to define a population-weighted temperature trend. This method has the advantages that the trend is representative for the population distribution throughout the sample but without conflating the trend in the population distribution and the trend in the temperature. I show that the trend in the global area-weighted average surface air temperature is different in key details from the population-weighted trend. I extend the index to include urbanization and the urban heat island effect. This substantially changes the trend again. I further extend the index to include international migration, but this has a minor impact on the trend.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tol,Richard S.J.
Format: Digital revista
Language:English
Published: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera 2017
Online Access:http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0187-62362017000200121
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