Welfare Analysis of Changing Notches : Evidence from Bolsa Família
This paper develops a framework to bound the welfare impacts of reforms to notches using two sufficient statistics: (1) the number of households bunching at the old notch who move toward the new notch, and (2) the number of households who “jump” down to the new notch. The bounds hold in a wide class of models, highlighting a new way to use reduced-form bunching evidence for welfare analysis without strong assumptions on the economic environment. These two statistics are estimated using a difference-in-difference strategy for a reform to the anti-poverty program Bolsa Famılia, finding that the reform’s marginal value of public funds lies between 0.90 and 1.12.
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| Format: | Working Paper biblioteca |
| Language: | English en_US |
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Washington, DC : World Bank
2022-07
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| Subjects: | WELFARE ANALYSIS, NOTCHES, BUNCHING, JUMPING, MVPF, BOUNDS, SUFFICIENT STATISTICS, |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099711507052235480/IDU0f69873ca0eb3b0492f0b2040865d6808f430 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37647 |
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dig-okr-10986376472022-07-07T05:10:43Z Welfare Analysis of Changing Notches : Evidence from Bolsa Família Bergstrom, Katy Dodds, William Rios, Juan WELFARE ANALYSIS NOTCHES BUNCHING JUMPING MVPF BOUNDS SUFFICIENT STATISTICS This paper develops a framework to bound the welfare impacts of reforms to notches using two sufficient statistics: (1) the number of households bunching at the old notch who move toward the new notch, and (2) the number of households who “jump” down to the new notch. The bounds hold in a wide class of models, highlighting a new way to use reduced-form bunching evidence for welfare analysis without strong assumptions on the economic environment. These two statistics are estimated using a difference-in-difference strategy for a reform to the anti-poverty program Bolsa Famılia, finding that the reform’s marginal value of public funds lies between 0.90 and 1.12. 2022-07-06T17:47:02Z 2022-07-06T17:47:02Z 2022-07 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099711507052235480/IDU0f69873ca0eb3b0492f0b2040865d6808f430 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37647 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;10117 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC : World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Latin America Brazil |
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biblioteca |
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America del Norte |
| libraryname |
Biblioteca del Banco Mundial |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
WELFARE ANALYSIS NOTCHES BUNCHING JUMPING MVPF BOUNDS SUFFICIENT STATISTICS WELFARE ANALYSIS NOTCHES BUNCHING JUMPING MVPF BOUNDS SUFFICIENT STATISTICS |
| spellingShingle |
WELFARE ANALYSIS NOTCHES BUNCHING JUMPING MVPF BOUNDS SUFFICIENT STATISTICS WELFARE ANALYSIS NOTCHES BUNCHING JUMPING MVPF BOUNDS SUFFICIENT STATISTICS Bergstrom, Katy Dodds, William Rios, Juan Welfare Analysis of Changing Notches : Evidence from Bolsa Família |
| description |
This paper develops a framework to
bound the welfare impacts of reforms to notches using two
sufficient statistics: (1) the number of households bunching
at the old notch who move toward the new notch, and (2) the
number of households who “jump” down to the new notch. The
bounds hold in a wide class of models, highlighting a new
way to use reduced-form bunching evidence for welfare
analysis without strong assumptions on the economic
environment. These two statistics are estimated using a
difference-in-difference strategy for a reform to the
anti-poverty program Bolsa Famılia, finding that the
reform’s marginal value of public funds lies between 0.90
and 1.12. |
| format |
Working Paper |
| topic_facet |
WELFARE ANALYSIS NOTCHES BUNCHING JUMPING MVPF BOUNDS SUFFICIENT STATISTICS |
| author |
Bergstrom, Katy Dodds, William Rios, Juan |
| author_facet |
Bergstrom, Katy Dodds, William Rios, Juan |
| author_sort |
Bergstrom, Katy |
| title |
Welfare Analysis of Changing Notches : Evidence from Bolsa Família |
| title_short |
Welfare Analysis of Changing Notches : Evidence from Bolsa Família |
| title_full |
Welfare Analysis of Changing Notches : Evidence from Bolsa Família |
| title_fullStr |
Welfare Analysis of Changing Notches : Evidence from Bolsa Família |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Welfare Analysis of Changing Notches : Evidence from Bolsa Família |
| title_sort |
welfare analysis of changing notches : evidence from bolsa família |
| publisher |
Washington, DC : World Bank |
| publishDate |
2022-07 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099711507052235480/IDU0f69873ca0eb3b0492f0b2040865d6808f430 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37647 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT bergstromkaty welfareanalysisofchangingnotchesevidencefrombolsafamilia AT doddswilliam welfareanalysisofchangingnotchesevidencefrombolsafamilia AT riosjuan welfareanalysisofchangingnotchesevidencefrombolsafamilia |
| _version_ |
1756576136728412160 |