Estimation of Climate Change Damage Functions for 140 Regions in the GTAP9 Database

Climate change damage (or, more correctly, impact) functions relate variations in temperature (or other climate variables) to economic impacts in various dimensions, and are at the basis of quantitative modeling exercises for the assessment of climate change policies. This document provides a summary of results from a series of meta-analyses aimed at estimating parameters for six specific damage functions, referring to: sea level rise, agricultural productivity, heat effects on labor productivity, human health, tourism flows, and households' energy demand. All parameters of the damage functions are estimated for each of the 140 countries and regions in the Global Trade Analysis Project 9 data set. To illustrate the salient characteristics of the estimates, the change in real gross domestic product is approximated for the different effects, in all regions, corresponding to an increase in average temperature of +3°C. After considering the overall impact, the paper highlights which factor is the most significant one in each country, and elaborates on the distributional consequences of climate change.

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	Roson, Roberto, Sartori, Martina
Format:	Working Paper biblioteca
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2016-06
Subjects:	SUMMER TEMPERATURES, ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, LOCAL TEMPERATURE, IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, TEMPERATURE VARIATIONS, TEMPERATURE, CARBON DIOXIDE, ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, AIR QUALITY, RELATIVE HUMIDITY, TEMPERATURE LEVELS, CARBON, CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES, METEOROLOGY, WIND, EMISSIONS, GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE, SEASONAL TEMPERATURE, ATMOSPHERE, GAS, CLIMATE SCENARIOS, HUMIDITY, CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE, TEMPORAL SCALE, SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE, EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, AIR, REGIONAL TEMPERATURE, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT, TEMPERATURE INCREASE, HIGH TEMPERATURE, RADIATION, ANNUAL PRECIPITATION, CO2, CLIMATE MITIGATION POLICIES, ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE IMPACTS, WARMING CLIMATE, IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, GHG, STRATEGIES FOR CLIMATE CHANGE, AIR CONDITIONING, GLOBAL WARMING, OIL PRODUCTS, CLIMATE VARIABLES, SEA LEVEL RISE, ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE, IMPLEMENTATION OF CLIMATE MITIGATION, SURFACE TEMPERATURE, CLIMATE MODEL, GLACIERS, TROPICAL REGIONS, TEMPERATURE RISES, IMPACTS OF TEMPERATURE, ENERGY POLICY, PRECIPITATION, UNEP, ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, GREENHOUSE GASES, IMPACT OF CLIMATE, TEMPERATURE CHANGE, GLOBAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE, EMISSION, GREENHOUSE, CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS, WINTER TEMPERATURES, AVERAGE RELATIVE HUMIDITY, CLIMATE CHANGE, IPCC, DROUGHT, SCIENCE, GLOBAL CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT, IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, ELECTRICITY, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS, EXTREME EVENTS, CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT, CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION, INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE, CLIMATE RESPONSE, FERTILIZATION, SEASON, CLIMATE MITIGATION, GLOBAL TEMPERATURE, GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE, COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, AIR TEMPERATURE, CLIMATIC CHANGE, SCIENTISTS, ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY, WET BULB TEMPERATURE, EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE, CLIMATE IMPACTS, TEMPERATURES, ABSOLUTE TEMPERATURE, HOUSEHOLD ENERGY, CLIMATE CHANGE POLICIES, TEMPERATURE CHANGES, CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE, METEOROLOGICAL DATA, GASES, CLIMATE PROBLEM, CARBON EMISSION, ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, PRICES, BENEFITS, NEGATIVE IMPACTS, ENERGY,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26518922/estimation-climate-change-damage-functions-140-regions-gtap9-database https://hdl.handle.net/10986/24643
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