Loss Aversion and Trade Policy

This paper provides new survey evidence showing that loss aversion and reference dependence are important in shaping people's perception of trade policy. Under the assumption that agents' welfare functions exhibit these behavioral elements, we analyze a model with a welfare-maximizing government and with the lobbying framework of Grossman and Helpman (1994). The policy implications of the augmented models differ in three important ways. One, there is a region of compensating protection, where a decline in the world price leads to an offsetting increase in protection, such that a constant domestic price is maintained. Two, protection following a single negative price shock will be persistent. Three, irrespective of the extent of lobbying, there will be a deviation from free trade that tends to favor loss-making industries. The augmented models are more consistent with the observed structure of protection, and in particular, explain why many trade policy instruments are explicitly designed to maintain prices at a given level.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Freund, Caroline, Özden, Çağlar
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, D.C. 2004-09
Subjects:AGENTS, AGRICULTURE, CAMPAIGN CONTRIBUTIONS, CENTRAL BANKS, COMPETITIVENESS, CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE, CONSUMER SURPLUS, CONSUMERS, DEMAND ELASTICITY, DEMAND FUNCTIONS, ECONOMETRIC MODELS, ECONOMICS, ELASTICITY, EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE, EMPIRICAL STUDIES, EMPLOYMENT, ENDOWMENTS, EQUILIBRIUM, EXCESS DEMAND, FIXED COSTS, FREE TRADE, IMPORTS, INCOME, INCOME LEVELS, INFLATION, INSURANCE, INSURANCE MARKETS, MARGINAL COST, MARGINAL VALUE, MARKET STRUCTURE, NASH EQUILIBRIUM, NET IMPORTS, OFFSETTING, POLICY INSTRUMENTS, POLITICAL ECONOMY, PRICE CHANGES, PRICE DECLINES, PRICE FLUCTUATIONS, PRICE INCREASES, PRODUCERS, PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY, PROSPECT THEORY, PROTECTIONISM, QUOTAS, RISK AVERSE, RISK AVERSION, RISK LOVING, RISK SHARING, SALES, SPREAD, SUPPLY FUNCTIONS, TRADE BARRIERS, TRADE POLICIES, UTILITY FUNCTION, UTILITY FUNCTIONS, UTILITY THEORY, VOTERS, WELFARE FUNCTION, WORLD MARKETS,
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/09/5114379/loss-aversion-trade-policy
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/14152
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