Comparison of weather station and climate reanalysis data for modelling temperature-related mortality

Epidemiological analyses of health risks associated with non-optimal temperature are traditionally based on ground observations from weather stations that offer limited spatial and temporal coverage. Climate reanalysis represents an alternative option that provide complete spatio-temporal exposure coverage, and yet are to be systematically explored for their suitability in assessing temperature-related health risks at a global scale. Here we provide the first comprehensive analysis over multiple regions to assess the suitability of the most recent generation of reanalysis datasets for health impact assessments and evaluate their comparative performance against traditional station-based data. Our findings show that reanalysis temperature from the last ERA5 products generally compare well to station observations, with similar non-optimal temperature-related risk estimates. However, the analysis offers some indication of lower performance in tropical regions, with a likely underestimation of heat-related excess mortality. Reanalysis data represent a valid alternative source of exposure variables in epidemiological analyses of temperature-related risk.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mistry, Malcolm N, Schneider, Rochelle, Masselot, Pierre, Royé, Dominic, Armstrong, Ben, Kyselý, Jan, Orru, Hans, Sera, Francesco, Tong, Shilu, Lavigne, Eric, Urban, Aleš, Madureira, Joana, García-León, David, Ibarreta, Dolores, Ciscar, Juan-Carlos, Feyen, Luc, de Schrijver, Evan, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, Pascal, Mathilde, Tobías, Aurelio, Guo, Yuming, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M, Gasparrini, Antonio
Other Authors: European Commission
Format: artículo biblioteca
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2022-03-25
Subjects:Temperatures, Climate reanalysis data, Temperature-related mortality, Weather, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13, Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts,
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/268370
http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780
https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85127070887
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